Sport Recife vs America Mineiro
Match events
- 13'Claudinho (Juan)
- 45+2'Clayson (Juan)
- 56'Ricardo Silva
- 56'Kayky Almeida
- 56'Goal Disallowed - offside — Kayky Almeida
- 65'Felipe Amaral (Otavio Goncalves)
- 66'Guilherme Parede (G. Italo)
- 67'Clayson (Marlon)
- 76'Willian (Biel Fonseca)
- 76'D. Hernández (Dudu)
- 78'Willian (Alex Silva)
- 82'Juan (C. de Pena)
- 83'Claudinho (Augusto)
- 87'Barreto (Heitor)
- 87'Fabio (M. Rodrigues)
- 90+7'Pedro Perotti
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 2.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Statistical analysis indicates that Sport Recife has a solid home advantage, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters against America Mineiro. Conversely, America Mineiro is struggling significantly away from home, making them particularly vulnerable in this matchup. Given these dynamics combined with their recent form, the data suggests a likely win for Sport Recife.
- Sport Recife unbeaten in last 5 home games against America Mineiro
- America Mineiro has the worst away record in the league this season
- Sport Recife scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 2.7 in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sport Recife
- Higher league positionSport Recife
Sport Recife sit 13 places above America Mineiro in the table.
#6 vs #19 - Tighter defenseAmerica Mineiro
America Mineiro are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded - Poor recent formSport Recife
Sport Recife have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formAmerica Mineiro
America Mineiro have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sport Recife at 57% — final result was Sport Recife win, Sport Recife 3-0 America Mineiro.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sport Recife have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- America Mineiro have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
America Mineiro
Sport RecifeSport RecifeAmerica MineiroSport RecifeAmerica MineiroAmerica MineiroSport RecifeSport RecifeAmerica MineiroAmerica MineiroSport RecifeSport RecifeAmerica MineiroAmerica MineiroSport RecifeOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | +10 | 38 | LWWD |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 11 | LLLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
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CuiabaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sport Recife vs America Mineiro?+
Our AI model favors Sport Recife to win, with a 57% probability (Draw 25%, America Mineiro 18%).
What time does Sport Recife vs America Mineiro kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 10:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).