Sporting CP B vs Chaves
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete · Capacity 3,000 · grass
Match events
- 42'Kiko
- 45+2'André Rodrigues
- 49'Atanasio
- 55'S. Justo
- 55'Tomás Costa (W. Tavares)
- 55'R. Esajas (Marcos Andre)
- 55'André Rodrigues (Pedro Pelágio)
- 59'E. Felicissimo
- 61'Marcos Andre
- 67'Leo Alaba (A. Herbert)
- 68'S. Justo
- 69'Goal Disallowed - video review — S. Justo
- 70'M. Couto (Lucas Anjos)
- 71'M. Sanha (Ivanildo)
- 80'R. Rodrigues
- 81'Kiko (Ivo Vazquez)
- 83'R. Nel (G. Silva)
- 83'Atanasio (D. Costa)
- 88'M. Tanlongo
- 90+6'R. Rodrigues (Kaua Oliveira)
- 0.5
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 2.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a closely contested match, with Sporting CP B's recent win indicating potential form, yet their struggles last season at home could play a role. Chaves, despite a poor start to the season, has a history of tight games, operating with an average of 1.5 scored but 2 conceded, which could lead to a draw or narrow victory for either side.
- Sporting CP B is currently ranked 7th, while Chaves sits at 18th
- Chaves has conceded an average of 2 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Sporting CP B's recent form includes a win, but they struggled at home last season
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sporting CP B
- Higher league positionSporting CP B
Sporting CP B sit 12 places above Chaves in the table.
#6 vs #18 - Historical edgeChaves
Chaves have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
1/2 H2H wins - Sharper attackChaves
Chaves are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Tighter defenseSporting CP B
Sporting CP B are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sporting CP B at 37.42% — final result was Sporting CP B win, Sporting CP B 1-0 Chaves.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sporting CP B have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chaves have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | LWW |
| 18 |  Chaves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Chaves
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Benfica BFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sporting CP B vs Chaves?+
Our AI model favors Sporting CP B to win, with a 37.42% probability (Draw 27.5%, Chaves 35.08%).
Where is Sporting CP B vs Chaves played?+
The match is played at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete (capacity 3,000).
What time does Sporting CP B vs Chaves kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).