Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City
Exploria Stadium, Orlando · Referee: V. Rivas
Match events
- 15'Zorhan Bassong
- 21'C. Durkin
- 45+3'Eduard Löwen
- 45'Jansen Miller
- 55'Calvin Harris (Dejan Joveljić)
- 61'Conrad Wallem
- 62'S. Becher (Alexandru Mățan)
- 62'Eduard Löwen (C. Holse)
- 64'T. Calheira (M. Suleymanov)
- 75'Calvin Harris (S. Afrifa)
- 75'Zorhan Bassong (J. Bartlett)
- 84'Conrad Wallem (J. Orozco)
- 84'S. Jeong (P. Ault)
- 89'Emir Karić (J. Reid)
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 2.0
- 2.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The numbers favor St. Louis City, who come into this match in strong form, going unbeaten in their last five games. In contrast, Sporting Kansas City has struggled recently, with only one win in their last five and a troubling average of 2.5 goals conceded per match. Additionally, Sporting's home form shows they have lost more games than they have won this season, indicating a challenging match ahead.
- St. Louis City unbeaten in last 5 matches
- Sporting Kansas City has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Sporting Kansas City has a negative goal difference of -30 this season
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors St. Louis City
- Poor recent formSporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Good recent formSt. Louis City
St. Louis City have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Higher league positionSt. Louis City
St. Louis City sit 9 places above Sporting Kansas City in the table.
#6 vs #15 - Sharper attackSt. Louis City
St. Louis City are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked St. Louis City at 52% — final result was a draw, Sporting Kansas City 1-1 St. Louis City.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (90/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sporting Kansas City have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St. Louis City have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CitySt. Louis CitySt. Louis CitySporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CitySt. Louis CitySporting Kansas CitySt. Louis CitySporting Kansas CitySt. Louis CitySt. Louis CitySporting Kansas CitySt. Louis CitySporting Kansas CityOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -31 | 15 | DLLL |
| 6 | St. Louis City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 33 | DWDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
V. Rivas
Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Eduard LöwenSt. Louis City⚽ 18.2
- 2Dante PolvaraSt. Louis City8.0
- 3Calvin HarrisSporting Kansas City⚽ 17.9
- 4T. BaumgartlSt. Louis City7.3
- 5Zorhan BassongSporting Kansas City🟨7.3
- 6L. Berg JohnsenSporting Kansas City7.2
Box score
Sporting Kansas City
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
Bench (8)
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
St. Louis City
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
Bench (9)
More stats
More stats
More stats
More stats
More Major League Soccer predictions
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?+
Our AI model favors St. Louis City to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 24%).
Where is Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City played?+
The match is played at Exploria Stadium, Orlando.
What time does Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).