St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo
Match events
- 23'S. Becher (Alexandru Mățan)
- 26'Alexandru Mățan
- 46'M. Saracchi (Felipe Andrade)
- 57'Diadie Samassekou (Héctor Herrera)
- 57'D. McGuire (A. Ibrahim)
- 58'M. Bogusz
- 58'Agustín Bouzat
- 62'T. Ostrak (C. Holse)
- 63'S. Becher
- 66'M. Bogusz (Jack McGlynn)
- 66'Goal Disallowed - offside — M. Bogusz
- 70'C. Holse
- 72'S. Jeong (P. Ault)
- 72'Alexandru Mățan (L. MacNaughton)
- 75'A. Ibrahim
- 81'Lucas Halter
- 85'Dante Polvara
- 87'L. Ennali (F. Negri)
- 87'Agustín Bouzat (F. Negri)
- 90+3'S. Becher (M. Perez)
- 90+3'L. Ennali (Duane Holmes)
- 90+8'T. Totland
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that St. Louis City has been strong at home recently, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches at home. Conversely, Houston Dynamo is currently enjoying a solid five-match winning streak, which could give them an edge. Historical head-to-head results indicate a competitive rivalry, with both teams registering victories against each other. Overall, the numbers favor a close match with a slight edge for the home side.
- St. Louis City unbeaten in last 4 home games (2W 2D)
- Houston Dynamo on a 5-match winning streak
- Houston Dynamo have a stronger overall league standing and goal difference
- Historically, St. Louis City has had mixed results against Houston Dynamo, with each team winning twice in their last five encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors St. Louis City
- Sharper attackSt. Louis City
St. Louis City are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Higher league positionHouston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo sit 4 places above St. Louis City in the table.
#2 vs #6 - Good recent formHouston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Strong home recordSt. Louis City
St. Louis City have won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
6/10 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked St. Louis City at 44% — final result was St. Louis City win, St. Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- St. Louis City have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Houston Dynamo have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
St. Louis City
Houston DynamoHouston DynamoSt. Louis CitySt. Louis CityHouston DynamoHouston DynamoSt. Louis CityHouston DynamoSt. Louis CitySt. Louis CityHouston DynamoHouston DynamoSt. Louis CitySt. Louis CityHouston DynamoOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | St. Louis City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 33 | DWDW |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 38 | WWWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo
More Major League Soccer predictions
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?+
Our AI model favors St. Louis City to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 29%).
What time does St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).