Stevenage vs Oxford United
Match events
- 9'J. Cumming (S. Eastwood)
- 15'Michał Helik
- 33'J. Pattenden (J. Houghton)
- 56'Lewis Freestone
- 60'Cameron Brannagan
- 65'L. Sibley (G. O'Donkor)
- 65'S. Dembélé (S. Mills)
- 67'G. O'Donkor (S. Mills)
- 72'Louis Thompson (T. Taylor)
- 72'Saxon Earley (P. Patterson)
- 76'M. Harris
- 80'Daniel Phillips (J. Roberts)
- 80'Jamie Reid (O. Sanderson)
- 87'Cameron Brannagan
- 88'M. Harris (T. Goodrham)
- 88'J. Currie (B. Spencer)
- 90+5'S. Mills
- 90+8'J. Roberts
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match, with both teams showing similar recent form, drawing their last matches. The head-to-head record favors Oxford United slightly, historically performing better in their encounters with Stevenage. Statistical trends indicate a likely low-scoring draw, with both teams averaging about a goal per match recently.
- Last 5 matches for Stevenage show mixed results with 1 win and 3 losses.
- Oxford United has scored an average of 1.1 goals per game in the last 10 matches.
- Historically, Oxford United has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Stevenage.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Stevenage
- Historical edgeOxford United
Oxford United have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
3/6 H2H wins - Higher league positionOxford United
Oxford United sit 14 places above Stevenage in the table.
#5 vs #19 - Poor recent formStevenage
Stevenage have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Poor recent formOxford United
Oxford United have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Stevenage at 37% — final result was Oxford United win, Stevenage 1-2 Oxford United.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Stevenage have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Oxford United have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 |  Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 5 |  Oxford United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Oldham
Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Stevenage
Oxford United
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BromleyFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Stevenage vs Oxford United?+
Our AI model favors Stevenage to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 30%, Oxford United 33%).
What time does Stevenage vs Oxford United kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).