Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils
Match events
- 46'Bamba (A. Glaudans)
- 54'N. Barkovskis
- 56'E. Emsis
- 62'E. Emsis (K. Skadmanis)
- 65'A. Traore (D. Kivinda)
- 70'C. Tchibinda
- 80'R. Kirss (A. Grikovs)
- 85'J. Cirulis
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that BFC Daugavpils enters this match in stronger form, having won their last two games. Super Nova's poor home record, with 7 losses this season, may hinder their chances, especially when considering their recent head-to-head history, which has featured multiple draws.
- BFC Daugavpils unbeaten in last 3 matches
- Super Nova has lost 7 out of 12 home games this season
- Historically, last 5 head-to-head matches have all been closely contested with 3 draws
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors BFC Daugavpils
- Poor recent formSuper Nova
Super Nova have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Weak home recordSuper Nova
Super Nova have won 2 of their last 13 home matches.
2/13 home wins - Weak away recordBFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils have won 2 of their last 12 away matches.
2/12 away wins - Sharper attackBFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked BFC Daugavpils at 52% — final result was a draw, Super Nova 0-0 BFC Daugavpils.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (88/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Super Nova have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- BFC Daugavpils have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
BFC Daugavpils
Super NovaSuper NovaBFC DaugavpilsSuper NovaBFC DaugavpilsBFC DaugavpilsSuper NovaSuper NovaBFC DaugavpilsBFC DaugavpilsSuper NovaSuper NovaBFC DaugavpilsBFC DaugavpilsSuper NovaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Super Nova | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -11 | 28 | LWLW |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +2 | 37 | WWLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
BFC Daugavpils
More Virsliga predictions
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Tukums
FS Jelgava
AudaSuper Nova
Ogre United
Rīgas FSFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?+
Our AI model favors BFC Daugavpils to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 26%, Super Nova 22%).
What time does Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).