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Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn

Meistriliiga· Regular Season - 13
Tammeka
3–1Full-time
Flora Tallinn
LWWWGoals 13-175th in league
WLLWGoals 23-133rd in league
Home7W 1D 4L(16-12)
Away8W 0D 4L(21-16)
A. Le Coq Arena

A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn · Capacity 14,405 · grass · Referee: R. Maalinn

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 24'R. Valdmets
  2. 25'P. Veelma
  3. 33'S. Alamaa (T. Usta)
  4. 36'M. Sambe (Thomas Lisboa)
  5. 38'S. Alamaa
  6. 49'Pedro Manoel
  7. 50'J. Amijekori
  8. 62'Thomas Lisboa
  9. 62'T. Usta (R. Alliku)
  10. 62'I. Antonov (S. Tovstik)
  11. 62'J. Amijekori (R. Alliku)
  12. 64'Thomas Lisboa (M. Hydara)
  13. 64'R. Muur (Kauan Pereira)
  14. 65'M. Kukkonen (D. Zotov)
  15. 72'T. Lang (H. Pedmanson)
  16. 72'L. Ounpuu (R. Laabus)
  17. 75'M. Kolobov
  18. 77'P. Veelma
  19. 81'D. Kuraksin (A. Kollo)
  20. 81'G. Uggeri (M. Vaino)
  21. 85'S. Tovstik
  22. 90+2'A. Kollo
  23. 90'Kauan Pereira
Lineups unavailable for this match.
TammekaFlora Tallinn
1.3
Goals/game
2.3
1.7
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Tammeka win
20.69%
Draw
22.44%
Flora Tallinn win
56.87%
62.9%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
13.5%Tammeka clean sheet
27.3%Flora Tallinn clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The statistics suggest a favorable matchup for Flora Tallinn, given their recent success against Tammeka and a solid away record this season. Tammeka's defense has shown vulnerabilities, especially in games where they have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per match. Given these factors, Flora, with their higher standings and scoring capability, is expected to secure a win.

  • Flora Tallinn has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Tammeka.
  • Tammeka's recent form includes 3 wins but they have struggled defensively, conceding 1.7 goals per game on average in their last 10.
  • Flora Tallinn is in a stronger league position, ranked 3rd with 42 points, compared to Tammeka's 5th with 32 points.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
95/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Flora Tallinn

  • Historical edgeFlora Tallinn

    Flora Tallinn have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Good recent formTammeka

    Tammeka have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Good recent formFlora Tallinn

    Flora Tallinn have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackFlora Tallinn

    Flora Tallinn are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Flora Tallinn at 56.87% — final result was Tammeka win, Tammeka 3-1 Flora Tallinn.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (95/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Flora Tallinn1.62market 61.8% · model 56.87%
Draw3.94market 25.4% · model 22.44%
Tammeka ✓4.18market 23.9% · model 20.69%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Tammeka have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Flora Tallinn have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Tammeka wins
1Draws
6Flora Tallinn wins
8-14Goals
Flora Tallinn
2–1Sep 20, 2025, 2:00 PM
Tammeka
Tammeka
1–2Jul 20, 2025, 2:00 PM
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3–1May 30, 2025, 5:00 PM
Tammeka
Tammeka
1–2Apr 8, 2025, 4:00 PM
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
2–1Sep 21, 2024, 2:00 PM
Tammeka
Tammeka
2–0Jul 19, 2024, 4:00 PM
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3–1Jun 19, 2024, 4:00 PM
Tammeka
Tammeka
0–0Mar 31, 2024, 9:30 AM
Flora Tallinn

Odds comparison

Match winner

Tammeka4.18▲best 4.51
Draw3.94▲best 4.20
Flora Tallinn1.62▼best 1.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.41▼best 1.46
Under 2.52.55▲best 2.75

Both teams to score

Yes1.45▲best 1.53
No2.45▼best 2.63

Double chance

Tammeka/Draw2.07▲best 2.10
Tammeka/Flora Tallinn1.17▼best 1.22
Draw/Flora Tallinn1.17▼best 1.20

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10▼best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.50▲best 6.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36▲best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00▼best 3.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Tammeka4.18▲ 0.43
Draw3.94▲ 0.09
Flora Tallinn1.62▼ 0.13
23 Aug – 26 Aug

Model vs market

Tammeka win-0.8pp
AI
20.69%
Market
21.5%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
22.44%
Market
22.9%
Flora Tallinn win+1.3pp
AI
56.87%
Market
55.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Tammeka
221129-535WWLL
3
Flora Tallinn
231409+1742WLWL

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game2.3
1.7Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Maalinn

4.5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Tammeka

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Flora Tallinn

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn?+

Our AI model favors Flora Tallinn to win, with a 56.87% probability (Draw 22.44%, Tammeka 20.69%).

Where is Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn played?+

The match is played at A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn (capacity 14,405).

What time does Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).