Tammeka vs Kuressaare

Meistriliiga· Regular Season - 24
Tammeka
10Full-time
Kuressaare
LWWWGoals 15-185th in league
WWWWGoals 17-119th in league
Home7W 1D 4L(16-12)
Away3W 1D 9L(13-23)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'M. Sambe
  2. 45'H. Pedmanson
  3. 57'T. Jurisoo (A. Kivi)
  4. 57'A. Visse (A. Kivi)
  5. 70'H. Pedmanson (R. Muur)
  6. 70'P. Marin (T. Lang)
  7. 77'S. Sinilaid (R. Tarkmeel)
  8. 80'G. Uggeri (L. Ounpuu)
  9. 81'P. Veelma
  10. 89'R. Saar
Lineups unavailable for this match.
TammekaKuressaare
1.5
Goals/game
1.7
1.8
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Tammeka win
49%
Draw
25%
Kuressaare win
26%
60.1%BTTS
58.8%Over 2.5
17.4%Tammeka clean sheet
27.3%Kuressaare clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The analysis suggests that Tammeka's recent form, with three wins in their last five matches, provides them a competitive edge against Kuressaare, who have struggled away with only three victories all season. Additionally, head-to-head matchups favor Tammeka, winning three of the last five confrontations. Based on these factors, a close match is anticipated, with Tammeka likely to secure a narrow victory.

  • Tammeka has won 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Kuressaare has a poor away record with only 3 wins in 12 matches.
  • Historically, Tammeka has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Kuressaare.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Tammeka

  • Historical edgeTammeka

    Tammeka have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordTammeka

    Tammeka have won 7 of their last 12 home matches.

    7/12 home wins
  • Weak away recordKuressaare

    Kuressaare have won 3 of their last 13 away matches.

    3/13 away wins
  • Tighter defenseKuressaare

    Kuressaare are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Tammeka at 49% — final result was Tammeka win, Tammeka 1-0 Kuressaare.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (85/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Tammeka1.83market 54.6% · model 49%
Draw3.52market 28.4% · model 25%
Kuressaare3.60market 27.8% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Tammeka have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kuressaare have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Tammeka wins
2Draws
2Kuressaare wins
9-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Tammeka1.83best 1.90
Draw3.52best 3.72
Kuressaare3.60best 3.74

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.61best 1.67
Under 2.52.13best 2.21

Both teams to score

Yes1.56best 1.62
No2.19best 2.27

Double chance

Tammeka/Draw1.22best 1.25
Tammeka/Kuressaare1.20best 1.25
Draw/Kuressaare1.83best 1.92

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00best 3.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Tammeka1.83
Draw3.52 0.02
Kuressaare3.60 0.10
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Tammeka win-0.3pp
AI
49%
Market
49.3%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
25%
Market
25.6%
Kuressaare win+0.9pp
AI
26%
Market
25.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Tammeka
221129-535WWLL
9
Kuressaare
247314-1424WWLD

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.7
1.8Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Tammeka

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Kuressaare

0-15'
15.4%
16-30'
38.5%
31-45'
7.7%
46-60'
7.7%
61-75'
23.1%
76-90+'
7.7%

More Meistriliiga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Tammeka vs Kuressaare?+

Our AI model favors Tammeka to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 25%, Kuressaare 26%).

What time does Tammeka vs Kuressaare kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).