Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island
Match events
- 45+2'C. Ortiz
- 53'E. Conway
- 55'L. Hilton (M. Schneider)
- 56'Ethan Bartlow (L. Wyke)
- 56'E. Conway (M. Myers)
- 61'W. Antley (D. Acoff)
- 65'K. Henderlong (R. Cicerone)
- 67'A. Sanchez (Leo Afonso)
- 67'N. Fuson (A. Rodriguez)
- 68'Y. Tsukada (D. Atkinson)
- 74'A. Shapiro-Thompson (E. Klein)
- 76'M. Micaletto (L. Perez)
- 77'E. Klein
- 83'N. Scardina (D. Rovira)
- 84'W. Antley (G. Nigro)
- 90+1'M. Schneider
- 90+2'L. Perez (R. Cicerone)
Lineups
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that the Tampa Bay Rowdies, despite their recent struggles against Rhode Island, hold a strong position in league standings and have a solid home record. Rhode Island's away form has been inconsistent, contributing to their lower league ranking. Based on current form and the context of their head-to-head history, the Rowdies are favored to edge this match.
- Tampa Bay Rowdies rank 1 in the league standings with 41 points.
- Rhode Island has a poor away record with only 3 wins from 8 matches.
- Historically, Tampa Bay Rowdies have struggled against Rhode Island, losing the last 4 meetings, but won one match 4-1 earlier in their encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Historical edgeRhode Island
Rhode Island have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
3/4 H2H wins - Sharper attackTampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Tighter defenseRhode Island
Rhode Island are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded - Higher league positionTampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 6 places above Rhode Island in the table.
#1 vs #7
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Tampa Bay Rowdies at 53.87% — final result was Tampa Bay Rowdies win, Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 Rhode Island.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (91/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Tampa Bay Rowdies have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rhode Island have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | +18 | 44 | WWWW |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 28 | LWLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
C. May
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Rhode Island
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Who is likely to win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?+
Our AI model favors Tampa Bay Rowdies to win, with a 53.87% probability (Draw 24.24%, Rhode Island 21.89%).
What time does Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).