Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam — Eredivisie

Eredivisie· Regular Season - 2

Telstar

1–3Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

WLWDWWGoals 19-913th in league

WWDLLDGoals 17-127th in league

Home0W 0D 1L(1-3)

Away1W 0D 0L(3-1)

Match events

6'M. Young (N. Þórisson)
53'N. Þórisson (S. Mito)
55'A. Soualhia
57'Lushendry Edward Martes
57'Rui Mendes (Emirhan Demircan)
58'Gabi Caschili (R. Oudsten)
62'C. Terho (Mitchell Van Bergen)
64'Jeff Hardeveld (P. Aning)
64'J. Seedorf (N. Shenkman)
76'S. Mito (Alwande Roaldsoy)
76'Jens Toornstra (R. van Cruijsen)
84'J. Baas (T. Quintero)
84'N. Þórisson (M. Zonneveld)
90+1'A. Soualhia
90+7'R. van Cruijsen (B. Kuipers)

Lineups

Telstar

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-14-2-3-1

Henk BruggeCoach

Rogier Meijer

AI match analysis

Telstar win

46%

Draw

25%

Sparta Rotterdam win

29%

57.3%BTTS

54.2%Over 2.5

27.3%Telstar clean sheet

21.2%Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Telstar enters this match in strong form, having won four of their last five games and demonstrated solid scoring capabilities with an average of 1.71 goals per match. In contrast, Sparta Rotterdam has struggled recently, facing three consecutive losses. Given these factors, the analysis leans towards a home victory, with a predicted score of 2-1.

Telstar unbeaten in last 5 matches with 4 wins
Sparta Rotterdam has lost their last 3 matches
Telstar's recent home performance includes significant scoring with 1.71 goals per game

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

74/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Telstar

Strong recent formTelstar
Telstar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L
Higher league positionSparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam sit 6 places above Telstar in the table.
#7 vs #13
Sharper attackTelstar
Telstar are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game
Tighter defenseTelstar
Telstar are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Telstar at 46% — final result was Sparta Rotterdam win, Telstar 1-3 Sparta Rotterdam.

Predicted score was 2-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Telstar2.16market 46.3% · model 46%

Sparta Rotterdam ✓3.03market 33% · model 29%

Draw3.67market 27.2% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Telstar have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Sparta Rotterdam have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Telstar wins

1Draws

1Sparta Rotterdam wins

3-4Goals

Telstar

1–1Jan 25, 2019, 7:00 PM

Sparta Rotterdam

3–2Oct 26, 2018, 6:00 PM

Telstar

Odds comparison

Match winner

Telstar2.16▲best 2.27

Draw3.67▲best 3.82

Sparta Rotterdam3.03▼best 3.22

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.53▼best 1.60

Under 2.52.40▲best 2.52

Both teams to score

Yes1.46▼best 1.51

No2.53▲best 2.62

Double chance

Telstar/Draw1.36▲best 1.40

Telstar/Sparta Rotterdam1.25▼best 1.29

Draw/Sparta Rotterdam1.66▼best 1.73

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.28

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.65▼best 3.80

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00▲best 5.50

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.15▼best 1.17

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Telstar2.16▼ 0.12

Draw3.67▲ 0.17

Sparta Rotterdam3.03▲ 0.21

11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Telstar win+2.6pp

AI

46%

Market

43.4%

Draw-0.6pp

AI

25%

Market

25.6%

Sparta Rotterdam win-2pp

AI

29%

Market

31%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.