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Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol

J1 League· Regular Season - 2
Tokyo Verdy
1–3Full-time
Kashiwa Reysol
LDDWGoals 10-1617th in league
LWWWGoals 20-112nd in league
Home0W 1D 1L(2-4)
Away1W 0D 0L(3-1)

National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 2'N. Hayashi (S. Meshino)
  2. 11'Keita Endo (Nobuteru Nakagawa)
  3. 54'S. Meshino (I. Kumatoriya)
  4. 54'Rei Hirakawa (I. Kumatoriya)
  5. 55'Y. Matsuhashi (Y. Arai)
  6. 57'Hinata Yamauchi (Masaki Watai)
  7. 57'Yuki Kakita (Y. Segawa)
  8. 59'Nobuteru Nakagawa
  9. 65'Y. Segawa (Masaki Watai)
  10. 74'Yuya Fukuda (S. Kanda)
  11. 74'S. Meshino (J. Yamamoto)
  12. 74'S. Meshino (S. Nakayama)
  13. 79'Yoshio Koizumi (Hayato Nakama)
  14. 80'Keita Endo (Kenshin Yuba)
  15. 80'Y. Uchida (R. Shirai)
  16. 82'Tojiro Kubo (Kenshin Yuba)
  17. 85'Tojiro Kubo (Seiya Baba)
  18. 88'K. Suzuki
  19. 90+6'Masaki Watai
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
1.0
Goals/game
2.0
1.6
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Tokyo Verdy win
23%
Draw
29%
Kashiwa Reysol win
48%
54.3%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
16.5%Tokyo Verdy clean sheet
35%Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The analysis indicates that Kashiwa Reysol comes into this match with stronger recent form, winning four of their last five games. Tokyo Verdy, despite their home advantage, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals over their last ten matches. Head-to-head statistics show Kashiwa has won three out of the last five encounters against Tokyo Verdy, suggesting a favorable outlook for the away team in this matchup.

  • Kashiwa Reysol won 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Tokyo Verdy has conceded an average of 1.6 goals over their last 10 matches
  • Kashiwa Reysol has an average of 1.5 goals scored in their last 10 matches
  • Historically, Kashiwa Reysol has a slight advantage in head-to-head, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Kashiwa Reysol

  • Good recent formKashiwa Reysol

    Kashiwa Reysol have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attackKashiwa Reysol

    Kashiwa Reysol are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2/game
  • Historical edgeTokyo Verdy

    Tokyo Verdy have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    3/6 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionKashiwa Reysol

    Kashiwa Reysol sit 15 places above Tokyo Verdy in the table.

    #2 vs #17

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Kashiwa Reysol at 48% — final result was Kashiwa Reysol win, Tokyo Verdy 1-3 Kashiwa Reysol.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Kashiwa Reysol ✓1.87market 53.6% · model 48%
Draw3.32market 30.1% · model 29%
Tokyo Verdy4.29market 23.3% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Tokyo Verdy have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kashiwa Reysol have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Tokyo Verdy wins
2Draws
1Kashiwa Reysol wins
7-7Goals
Tokyo Verdy
1–0May 3, 2026, 5:03 AM
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
1–2Feb 15, 2026, 5:00 AM
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
0–3Jun 15, 2025, 9:00 AM
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
0–0Mar 29, 2025, 5:00 AM
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2–3Aug 31, 2024, 10:00 AM
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
1–1Apr 7, 2024, 4:00 AM
Kashiwa Reysol

Odds comparison

Match winner

Tokyo Verdy4.29▲best 4.63
Draw3.32▲best 3.46
Kashiwa Reysol1.87▼best 1.93

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.25▼best 2.32
Under 2.51.61▲best 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes2.00best 2.07
No1.72▼best 1.75

Double chance

Tokyo Verdy/Draw1.89▲best 1.95
Tokyo Verdy/Kashiwa Reysol1.29▼best 1.32
Draw/Kashiwa Reysol1.21▼best 1.24

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25▲best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.25▲best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.57▼best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75▼best 3.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Tokyo Verdy4.29▼ 0.12
Draw3.32▲ 0.02
Kashiwa Reysol1.87▲ 0.04
11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Tokyo Verdy win+1.2pp
AI
23%
Market
21.8%
Draw+0.8pp
AI
29%
Market
28.2%
Kashiwa Reysol win-2.1pp
AI
48%
Market
50.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
17
Tokyo Verdy
3021-22DLD
2
Kashiwa Reysol
3300+59WWW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game2
1.6Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Tokyo Verdy

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
40%

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?+

Our AI model favors Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 29%, Tokyo Verdy 23%).

Where is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol played?+

The match is played at National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo.

What time does Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).