Torino vs AC Milan

Serie A· Regular Season - 1
Torino
12Full-time
AC Milan
LDWWGoals 12-1113th in league
WLLWGoals 10-175th in league
Home0W 0D 1L(1-2)
Away1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 53'Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  2. 56'Ruben Loftus-Cheek (L. Modric)
  3. 56'Ardon Jashari (Adrien Rabiot)
  4. 65'A. Cisse (Adrien Rabiot)
  5. 66'A. Cisse (Alexis Saelemaekers)
  6. 66'Pervis Estupiñán (D. Bartesaghi)
  7. 67'Adrien Rabiot (Samuel Chukwueze)
  8. 70'Cesare Casadei (Che Adams)
  9. 70'Marcus Pedersen (N. Fortini)
  10. 70'Giovanni Simeone (Alieu Njie)
  11. 77'M. Gila (M. Gabbia)
  12. 81'A. Cacciamani (Z. Aboukhlal)
  13. 85'P. Comuzzo (S. Kulenović)
  14. 90+3'Che Adams (Gvidas Gineitis)

Lineups

TorinoAC Milan
1.2
Goals/game
1.0
1.1
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Torino win
21.71%
Draw
27.63%
AC Milan win
50.66%
49.8%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
35%Torino clean sheet
23.5%AC Milan clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that AC Milan may have an advantage going into this match, given their recent head-to-head success and slightly higher scoring performance. Torino's home form remains untested this season, while AC Milan has proven capable of scoring away, despite some defensive vulnerabilities. The numbers favor an away win likely resulting in a score of 2-1 in favor of AC Milan.

  • Torino has a mixed recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
  • AC Milan has been inconsistent, winning only 2 of their last 5 games.
  • Historically, AC Milan has the upper hand with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters against Torino.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors AC Milan

  • Tighter defenseTorino

    Torino are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded
  • Higher league positionAC Milan

    AC Milan sit 8 places above Torino in the table.

    #5 vs #13
  • Good recent formTorino

    Torino have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formAC Milan

    AC Milan have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked AC Milan at 50.66% — final result was AC Milan win, Torino 1-2 AC Milan.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

AC Milan1.89market 52.9% · model 50.66%
Draw3.40market 29.4% · model 27.63%
Torino4.36market 22.9% · model 21.71%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Torino have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • AC Milan have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Torino wins
1Draws
4AC Milan wins
13-15Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Torino4.36best 4.65
Draw3.40best 3.65
AC Milan1.89best 1.97

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.14best 2.27
Under 2.51.71best 1.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.91best 1.97
No1.84best 1.95

Double chance

Torino/Draw1.90best 2.05
Torino/AC Milan1.30best 1.35
Draw/AC Milan1.21best 1.24

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.30best 2.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.56best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.19best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.25best 4.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Torino4.36 0.02
Draw3.40 0.20
AC Milan1.89 0.13
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Torino win-0.1pp
AI
21.71%
Market
21.8%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
27.63%
Market
28%
AC Milan win+0.4pp
AI
50.66%
Market
50.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Torino
1001-10L
5
AC Milan
1100+13W

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1
1.1Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

L. Zufferli

3.17Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.33Penalties scored / game

Based on 12 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Torino

0-15'
18.2%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
9.1%
46-60'
18.2%
61-75'
27.3%
76-90+'
27.3%

AC Milan

0-15'
10%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
30%

More Serie A predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Torino vs AC Milan?+

Our AI model favors AC Milan to win, with a 50.66% probability (Draw 27.63%, Torino 21.71%).

What time does Torino vs AC Milan kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).