Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | — | 8 | 11 | 0 |
 Seattle Mariners | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
Data suggests that the Toronto Blue Jays have a slight edge in this matchup based on their home performance and head-to-head history, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters against the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners' recent struggles on the road, allowing an average of 7.3 runs per game, further highlight Toronto's advantages, leading to a predicted score of 5-4 in favor of the Blue Jays.
- Toronto has a 60% home win rate this season.
- Seattle has allowed an average of 7.3 runs in their last 10 games.
- In their last 5 meetings, Toronto has won 4 while scoring 8 or more runs in key games.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Toronto Blue Jays
- Tighter defenseToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays are conceding just 4.4 runs per game over their recent matches.
4.4/game conceded - Historical edgeToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Good recent formToronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formSeattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 56% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Toronto Blue Jays at 56% — final result was Toronto Blue Jays win, Toronto Blue Jays 8-1 Seattle Mariners.
Predicted score was 5-4.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Toronto Blue Jays have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seattle Mariners have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Blue Jays are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Seattle Mariners.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Toronto Blue Jays | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 4.13▲ | 1.22▼ |
| -2.5 | 3.24▲ | 1.32▼ |
| -2 | 2.96▲ | 1.39▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.47▲ | 1.56▼ |
| -1 | 2.01▲ | 1.79▼ |
| +1 | 1.44▲ | 2.67▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.36▲ | 3.10▼ |
| +2 | 1.20 | 4.33 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.51▲ | 2.51▼ |
| 6 | 1.59▲ | 2.29▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.76▲ | 2.06▼ |
| 7 | 1.96▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.23▲ | 1.63▼ |
| 8 | 2.46▲ | 1.51▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.59▲ | 1.48▼ |
| 9 | 3.01▲ | 1.34▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Boston Red SoxToronto Blue JaysSeattle MarinersFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners?+
Our AI model favors Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 56% probability (Seattle Mariners 44%).
What time does Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners start?+
First pitch is at Aug 28, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners?+
Toronto Blue Jays: 3, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 2, 0. Seattle Mariners: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 8-1.