Toronto FC vs New England Revolution
Match events
- 25'Brooklyn Raines
- 40'P. Miller (Griffin Yow)
- 43'T. Corbeanu
- 43'William Sands
- 45+6'Niklas Dorsch (Đorđe Mihailović)
- 73'Dor Turgeman (W. Harris)
- 74'Walker Zimmerman
- 76'Đorđe Mihailović
- 81'Matt Polster (M. Zambrano)
- 82'T. Corbeanu (Z. Monlouis)
- 82'Dániel Sallói (Alonso Coello)
- 86'Brooklyn Raines (Diego Fagúndez)
- 90+1'Josh Sargent (Emilio Aristizábal)
- 90+1'Markus Cimermancic (Kobe Franklin)
- 90'W. Harris (J. Harrison)
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The numbers suggest a closely contested match, as both teams have struggled to maintain consistent form. Toronto FC has not lost at home in their last 4 matches, however, their draws indicate difficulty in sealing victories. New England Revolution's away form has been lackluster, which might favor Toronto in this matchup.
- New England Revolution has lost 4 of their last 7 away matches this season
- Toronto FC has drawn 5 of their 9 home games this season
- Historically, the last 5 head-to-head matches have seen 2 wins for each team and 1 draw
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Toronto FC
- Higher league positionNew England Revolution
New England Revolution sit 6 places above Toronto FC in the table.
#4 vs #10 - Tighter defenseToronto FC
Toronto FC are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded - Weak home recordToronto FC
Toronto FC have won 3 of their last 11 home matches.
3/11 home wins - Weak away recordNew England Revolution
New England Revolution have won 2 of their last 9 away matches.
2/9 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Toronto FC at 47% — final result was Toronto FC win, Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Toronto FC have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New England Revolution have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
New England Revolution
Toronto FCToronto FCNew England RevolutionToronto FCNew England RevolutionNew England RevolutionToronto FCNew England RevolutionToronto FCToronto FCNew England RevolutionToronto FCNew England RevolutionNew England RevolutionToronto FCOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Toronto FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -6 | 24 | DWDL |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 34 | WLLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Dickerson
Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
More Major League Soccer predictions
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?+
Our AI model favors Toronto FC to win, with a 47% probability (Draw 25%, New England Revolution 28%).
What time does Toronto FC vs New England Revolution kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).