Udinese vs Como

Serie A· Regular Season - 1
Udinese
11Full-time
Como
LWWWGoals 13-611th in league
WWLLGoals 15-1310th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(1-1)
Away0W 1D 0L(1-1)
Bluenergy Stadium

Bluenergy Stadium, Udine · Capacity 25,952 · grass · Referee: A. Arena

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'J. Piotrowski
  2. 29'Hassane Kamara (J. Ekkelenkamp)
  3. 41'James Abankwah
  4. 46'Matteo Palma (Enzo Ebosse)
  5. 46'M. Perrone (Lucas Da Cunha)
  6. 46'M. Baturina (Assane Diao)
  7. 54'T. Douvikas
  8. 71'Jesús Rodriguez (M. Liberali)
  9. 72'J. Piotrowski (Lennon Miller)
  10. 73'Idrissa Gueye (Vakoun Issouf Bayo)
  11. 85'J. Ekkelenkamp (Unai Gómez)
  12. 89'N. Paz (M. Caqueret)
  13. 89'Yan Couto (I. Smolcic)
  14. 90+1'Nicolò Zaniolo (Oier Zarraga)
  15. 90+3'Unai Gómez
Lineups unavailable for this match.
UdineseComo
1.3
Goals/game
1.5
0.6
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Udinese win
19.84%
Draw
27.62%
Como win
52.54%
47.3%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
35%Udinese clean sheet
27.3%Como clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests Como holds a favorable edge over Udinese, with a strong recent head-to-head record, including notable victories. Como's offensive capabilities have been solid, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game recently, while Udinese's scoring has been less productive. Considering these factors, Como appears to have a higher probability of winning this matchup.

  • Como unbeaten in last 5 matches against Udinese
  • Como averages 1.5 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
  • Udinese scored only 1.3 goals per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Como

  • Tighter defenseUdinese

    Udinese are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.6/game conceded
  • Historical edgeComo

    Como have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    2/4 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionComo

    Como sit 1 place above Udinese in the table.

    #10 vs #11
  • Good recent formUdinese

    Udinese have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Como at 52.54% — final result was a draw, Udinese 1-1 Como.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Como1.82market 54.9% · model 52.54%
Draw3.47market 28.8% · model 27.62%
Udinese4.62market 21.6% · model 19.84%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Udinese have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Como have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Udinese wins
1Draws
2Como wins
2-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Udinese4.62best 4.91
Draw3.47best 3.62
Como1.82best 1.88

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.10best 2.19
Under 2.51.74best 1.79

Both teams to score

Yes1.94best 2.00
No1.81best 1.87

Double chance

Udinese/Draw1.97best 2.04
Udinese/Como1.29best 1.33
Draw/Como1.19best 1.22

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.17best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.60best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.23best 2.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Udinese4.62 0.17
Draw3.47 0.02
Como1.82 0.02
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Udinese win-0.7pp
AI
19.84%
Market
20.5%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
27.62%
Market
27.3%
Como win+0.4pp
AI
52.54%
Market
52.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
11
Udinese
101001D
10
Como
101001D

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.5
0.6Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Arena

3.4Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Udinese

0-15'
0%
16-30'
18.2%
31-45'
27.3%
46-60'
18.2%
61-75'
9.1%
76-90+'
27.3%

Como

0-15'
5.6%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
27.8%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
38.9%

More Serie A predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Udinese vs Como?+

Our AI model favors Como to win, with a 52.54% probability (Draw 27.62%, Udinese 19.84%).

Where is Udinese vs Como played?+

The match is played at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine (capacity 25,952).

What time does Udinese vs Como kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).