Udinese vs Como

Bluenergy Stadium, Udine · Capacity 25,952 · grass · Referee: A. Arena
Match events
- 28'J. Piotrowski
- 29'Hassane Kamara (J. Ekkelenkamp)
- 41'James Abankwah
- 46'Matteo Palma (Enzo Ebosse)
- 46'M. Perrone (Lucas Da Cunha)
- 46'M. Baturina (Assane Diao)
- 54'T. Douvikas
- 71'Jesús Rodriguez (M. Liberali)
- 72'J. Piotrowski (Lennon Miller)
- 73'Idrissa Gueye (Vakoun Issouf Bayo)
- 85'J. Ekkelenkamp (Unai Gómez)
- 89'N. Paz (M. Caqueret)
- 89'Yan Couto (I. Smolcic)
- 90+1'Nicolò Zaniolo (Oier Zarraga)
- 90+3'Unai Gómez
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 0.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests Como holds a favorable edge over Udinese, with a strong recent head-to-head record, including notable victories. Como's offensive capabilities have been solid, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game recently, while Udinese's scoring has been less productive. Considering these factors, Como appears to have a higher probability of winning this matchup.
- Como unbeaten in last 5 matches against Udinese
- Como averages 1.5 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
- Udinese scored only 1.3 goals per game in last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Como
- Tighter defenseUdinese
Udinese are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded - Historical edgeComo
Como have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionComo
Como sit 1 place above Udinese in the table.
#10 vs #11 - Good recent formUdinese
Udinese have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Como at 52.54% — final result was a draw, Udinese 1-1 Como.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Udinese have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Como have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Arena
Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Udinese
Como
More Serie A predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Udinese vs Como?+
Our AI model favors Como to win, with a 52.54% probability (Draw 27.62%, Udinese 19.84%).
Where is Udinese vs Como played?+
The match is played at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine (capacity 25,952).
What time does Udinese vs Como kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

