Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC

K League 1· Regular Season - 23
LLDWGoals 6-122nd in league
DLLWGoals 5-83rd in league
Home5W 1D 6L(20-21)
Away5W 4D 3L(14-10)
Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan · Capacity 44,102 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'Kim Young-Gwon (Lee Dong-Gyeong)
  2. 35'J. Sekidika (Lee You-Hyeon)
  3. 43'Kim Young-Gwon
  4. 46'Lee Jin-Hyun (Sim Sang-Min)
  5. 46'Jang Si-Young (Yago Cariello)
  6. 46'Lee Dong-Gyeong (Erick Farias)
  7. 55'Seung-Hyeon Jung
  8. 66'Choe Byeong-Chan (Kim Do-Hyun)
  9. 66'Kang Joon-Hyuck (Park Sang-Hyeok)
  10. 81'Lee Dong-Gyeong (H. Lee)
  11. 81'Goh Young-Jun (Geon-heui Kim)
  12. 81'Seo Min-Woo (Kim Dong-Hyun)
  13. 81'Kang Joon-Hyuck (Park Sang-Hyeok)
  14. 82'Kim Dong-Hyun
  15. 84'Yago Cariello
  16. 85'Kyu-seong Lee (D. Bojanic)
  17. 85'Kim Dong-Hyun (H. Park)
  18. 90'H. Lee
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Ulsan Hyundai FCGangwon FC
0.6
Goals/game
0.5
1.2
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Ulsan Hyundai FC win
39%
Draw
29%
Gangwon FC win
32%
28.8%BTTS
20.4%Over 2.5
42.7%Ulsan Hyundai FC clean sheet
49.7%Gangwon FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The numbers suggest a tightly contested match, with both teams having difficulty converting their recent form into consistent victories. Ulsan Hyundai FC's struggle at home, coupled with Gangwon FC's tendency to draw matches, indicates that a stalemate is a strong possibility in this encounter.

  • Ulsan Hyundai FC has only 1 win in their last 5 matches at home.
  • Gangwon FC has drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Last 5 head-to-head encounters show a balanced competition with multiple draws.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
72/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Ulsan Hyundai FC

  • Higher league positionUlsan Hyundai FC

    Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 1 place above Gangwon FC in the table.

    #2 vs #3
  • Poor recent formUlsan Hyundai FC

    Ulsan Hyundai FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Strong home recordUlsan Hyundai FC

    Ulsan Hyundai FC have won 5 of their last 12 home matches.

    5/12 home wins
  • Strong away recordGangwon FC

    Gangwon FC have won 5 of their last 12 away matches.

    5/12 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Ulsan Hyundai FC at 39% — final result was Gangwon FC win, Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-3 Gangwon FC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Ulsan Hyundai FC2.35market 42.6% · model 39%
Gangwon FC2.92market 34.3% · model 32%
Draw3.26market 30.7% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Ulsan Hyundai FC have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gangwon FC have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Ulsan Hyundai FC wins
2Draws
3Gangwon FC wins
12-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Ulsan Hyundai FC2.35best 2.75
Draw3.26best 3.47
Gangwon FC2.92best 3.22

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.91best 2.00
Under 2.51.85best 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.70
No2.04best 2.10

Double chance

Ulsan Hyundai FC/Draw1.38best 1.48
Ulsan Hyundai FC/Gangwon FC1.30best 1.33
Draw/Gangwon FC1.56best 1.62

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Ulsan Hyundai FC2.35 0.28
Draw3.26 0.07
Gangwon FC2.92 0.38
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Ulsan Hyundai FC win-0.6pp
AI
39%
Market
39.6%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
29%
Market
28.5%
Gangwon FC win+0.1pp
AI
32%
Market
31.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Ulsan Hyundai FC
231148+437WWWL
3
Gangwon FC
22985+935LLDW

Pre-match comparison

0.6Goals scored per game0.5
1.2Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Ulsan Hyundai FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

More K League 1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC?+

Our AI model favors Ulsan Hyundai FC to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 29%, Gangwon FC 32%).

Where is Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC played?+

The match is played at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan (capacity 44,102).

What time does Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).