União de Leiria vs Benfica B
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria · Capacity 23,888 · grass · Referee: F. Jesus
Match events
- 27'G. Moreira
- 31'Juan Muñoz (P. Fernandez)
- 46'Samuel Ntanda (Jair da Silva)
- 50'T. Freitas
- 59'T. Freitas (O. Tome)
- 59'F. Bernardes de Freitas Neto (T. Soares)
- 59'Anísio Cabral (F. Silva)
- 65'P. Fernandez (D. Martins)
- 69'J. Capucho (L. Martins)
- 76'T. Soares
- 84'G. Moreira
- 85'Albert Lottin (H. Masaki)
- 87'D. Soares (M. Ferreira)
- 90+1'G. Moreira
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup as Benfica B currently sits in 8th place with a win in their opener, while União de Leiria ranks 15th and is still seeking their first points after a loss. Historically, encounters between these sides tend to be tight, with recent matches indicating a tendency for draws. Given their recent form and defensive issues, the likelihood of a draw or narrow victory seems plausible.
- Benfica B has a stronger recent form with a win in their last match
- União de Leiria has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game
- Historically, the matches between these teams have ended in draws frequently
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors União de Leiria
- Historical edgeUnião de Leiria
União de Leiria have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionBenfica B
Benfica B sit 4 places above União de Leiria in the table.
#5 vs #9 - Poor recent formUnião de Leiria
União de Leiria have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackUnião de Leiria
União de Leiria are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked União de Leiria at 44.91% — final result was Benfica B win, União de Leiria 1-2 Benfica B.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- União de Leiria have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Benfica B have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 5 |  Benfica B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
União de Leiria
Benfica B
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VizelaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win União de Leiria vs Benfica B?+
Our AI model favors União de Leiria to win, with a 44.91% probability (Draw 27.23%, Benfica B 27.87%).
Where is União de Leiria vs Benfica B played?+
The match is played at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria (capacity 23,888).
What time does União de Leiria vs Benfica B kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 1:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).