Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem

Jupiler Pro League· Regular Season - 2
DWWLGoals 21-147th in league
WWWWGoals 22-93rd in league
Home0W 1D 0L(0-0)
Away0W 1D 0L(0-0)
Stade Joseph Marien

Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels · Capacity 9,400 · grass

Value found

+2.8% edge

Union St. Gilloise win

1.39AI fair odds
1.43Bookmaker odds
+2.8%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 30'Kevin Mac Allister
  2. 62'B. Zeneli (R. Mofokeng)
  3. 63'Raul Florucz (M. Biondic)
  4. 68'Fedde Leysen
  5. 71'T. Hedl (Z. Atrok)
  6. 71'S. Ujka (N. Mituljikic)
  7. 71'W. Paugain (F. Tangala)
  8. 71'R. Schoofs (Adem Zorgane)
  9. 71'Louis Patris (O. Niang)
  10. 84'Marley Aké (T. Panduro)
  11. 90+1'A. Ementa (K. Vemba)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Union St. GilloiseZulte Waregem
2.1
Goals/game
2.2
1.4
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Union St. Gilloise win
72%
Draw
17%
Zulte Waregem win
11%
64.8%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
16.5%Union St. Gilloise clean sheet
22.3%Zulte Waregem clean sheet

Predicted score: 4-1

Data suggests that Union St. Gilloise will likely dominate this matchup given their recent strong form and favorable head-to-head history against Zulte Waregem. Historically, they have outperformed Zulte Waregem in their last encounters, winning four out of the last five games, and are currently scoring at an impressive rate compared to their opponents.

  • Union St. Gilloise ranked 1st in the league standings
  • Union St. Gilloise has a strong recent home record against Zulte Waregem
  • Zulte Waregem has lower xG averages compared to Union St. Gilloise
  • Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.1 goals per match in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Union St. Gilloise

  • Historical edgeUnion St. Gilloise

    Union St. Gilloise have won 6 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    6/6 H2H wins
  • Strong recent formZulte Waregem

    Zulte Waregem are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Higher league positionZulte Waregem

    Zulte Waregem sit 4 places above Union St. Gilloise in the table.

    #3 vs #7
  • Sharper attackUnion St. Gilloise

    Union St. Gilloise are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Union St. Gilloise at 72% — final result was a draw, Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte Waregem.

Predicted score was 4-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Union St. Gilloise1.43market 70% · model 72%
Draw4.50market 22.2% · model 17%
Zulte Waregem6.77market 14.8% · model 11%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Union St. Gilloise have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Zulte Waregem have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

6Union St. Gilloise wins
0Draws
0Zulte Waregem wins
17-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Union St. Gilloise1.43best 1.52
Draw4.50best 4.80
Zulte Waregem6.77best 9.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.63best 1.66
Under 2.52.23best 2.31

Both teams to score

Yes1.78best 1.89
No1.92best 2.00

Double chance

Union St. Gilloise/Draw1.09best 1.13
Union St. Gilloise/Zulte Waregem1.17best 1.20
Draw/Zulte Waregem2.77best 3.25

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00best 8.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Union St. Gilloise1.43 0.11
Draw4.50 0.36
Zulte Waregem6.77 2.31
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Union St. Gilloise win+6.5pp
AI
72%
Market
65.5%
Draw-3.7pp
AI
17%
Market
20.7%
Zulte Waregem win-2.8pp
AI
11%
Market
13.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Union St. Gilloise
2110+44DW
3
Zulte Waregem
3210+57WDW

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game2.2
1.4Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Union St. Gilloise

0-15'
0%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
42.9%

Zulte Waregem

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?+

Our AI model favors Union St. Gilloise to win, with a 72% probability (Draw 17%, Zulte Waregem 11%).

Where is Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem played?+

The match is played at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels (capacity 9,400).

What time does Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).