Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem

Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels · Capacity 9,400 · grass
Value found
+2.8% edgeUnion St. Gilloise win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 30'Kevin Mac Allister
- 62'B. Zeneli (R. Mofokeng)
- 63'Raul Florucz (M. Biondic)
- 68'Fedde Leysen
- 71'T. Hedl (Z. Atrok)
- 71'S. Ujka (N. Mituljikic)
- 71'W. Paugain (F. Tangala)
- 71'R. Schoofs (Adem Zorgane)
- 71'Louis Patris (O. Niang)
- 84'Marley Aké (T. Panduro)
- 90+1'A. Ementa (K. Vemba)
- 2.1
- Goals/game
- 2.2
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-1
Data suggests that Union St. Gilloise will likely dominate this matchup given their recent strong form and favorable head-to-head history against Zulte Waregem. Historically, they have outperformed Zulte Waregem in their last encounters, winning four out of the last five games, and are currently scoring at an impressive rate compared to their opponents.
- Union St. Gilloise ranked 1st in the league standings
- Union St. Gilloise has a strong recent home record against Zulte Waregem
- Zulte Waregem has lower xG averages compared to Union St. Gilloise
- Union St. Gilloise scored an average of 2.1 goals per match in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Union St. Gilloise
- Historical edgeUnion St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise have won 6 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
6/6 H2H wins - Strong recent formZulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Higher league positionZulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem sit 4 places above Union St. Gilloise in the table.
#3 vs #7 - Sharper attackUnion St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Union St. Gilloise at 72% — final result was a draw, Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte Waregem.
Predicted score was 4-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Union St. Gilloise have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Zulte Waregem have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 | DW | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | WDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Union St. Gilloise
Zulte Waregem
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?+
Our AI model favors Union St. Gilloise to win, with a 72% probability (Draw 17%, Zulte Waregem 11%).
Where is Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem played?+
The match is played at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels (capacity 9,400).
What time does Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

