Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 20
LLWWGoals 20-131st in league
DWWLGoals 13-142nd in league
Home8W 1D 2L(27-6)
Away5W 1D 5L(17-19)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 26'A. Cubas
  2. 34'F. Negri
  3. 37'A. Resch
  4. 41'Agustín Bouzat
  5. 46'Cheick Tidiane Sabaly (T. Müller)
  6. 64'R. Elloumi (E. Sabbi)
  7. 64'Goal Disallowed - Foul — R. Elloumi
  8. 70'Guilherme Augusto (D. McGuire)
  9. 73'E. Sabbi (B. Caicedo)
  10. 74'A. Cubas (R. Priso)
  11. 75'F. Negri (Marcelo Saracchi)
  12. 75'Héctor Herrera (Diadie Samassekou)
  13. 80'L. Ennali (D. Holmes)
  14. 88'T. Johnson (Sam Adekugbe)
  15. 88'E. Ocampo (N. Djordjevic)
  16. 90'Cheick Tidiane Sabaly (B. Caicedo)

Lineups

Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
2.0
Goals/game
1.3
1.3
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps win
61%
Draw
22%
Houston Dynamo win
17%
59.5%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
27.3%Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet
18.3%Houston Dynamo clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that the Vancouver Whitecaps are currently performing strongly at home, with a solid record of 7 wins from 9 matches this season. Houston Dynamo's away form reflects more inconsistency, contributing to an average of 1.4 goals conceded in their last games. The head-to-head history shows competitive matchups, but recent trends favor Vancouver to secure a narrow win.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps home record: 7W 1D 1L this season
  • Houston Dynamo away form shows inconsistency: 4W 1D 4L
  • Vancouver's recent form includes 2 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches
  • Houston Dynamo has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
99/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Vancouver Whitecaps

  • Strong home recordVancouver Whitecaps

    Vancouver Whitecaps have won 8 of their last 11 home matches.

    8/11 home wins
  • Strong away recordHouston Dynamo

    Houston Dynamo have won 5 of their last 11 away matches.

    5/11 away wins
  • Sharper attackVancouver Whitecaps

    Vancouver Whitecaps are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2/game
  • Higher league positionVancouver Whitecaps

    Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1 place above Houston Dynamo in the table.

    #1 vs #2

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Vancouver Whitecaps at 61% — final result was Houston Dynamo win, Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Houston Dynamo.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (99/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Vancouver Whitecaps1.54market 64.9% · model 61%
Draw4.25market 23.5% · model 22%
Houston Dynamo5.56market 18% · model 17%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Vancouver Whitecaps have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Houston Dynamo have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Vancouver Whitecaps wins
2Draws
3Houston Dynamo wins
18-15Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Vancouver Whitecaps1.54best 1.60
Draw4.25best 4.50
Houston Dynamo5.56best 5.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.64best 1.68
Under 2.52.21best 2.28

Both teams to score

Yes1.71best 1.75
No2.04best 2.08

Double chance

Vancouver Whitecaps/Draw1.13best 1.17
Vancouver Whitecaps/Houston Dynamo1.20best 1.24
Draw/Houston Dynamo2.41best 2.47

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.50best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.53best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.38best 2.38

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Vancouver Whitecaps1.54 0.08
Draw4.25 0.33
Houston Dynamo5.56 0.24
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Vancouver Whitecaps win0pp
AI
61%
Market
61%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
22%
Market
22.1%
Houston Dynamo win+0.1pp
AI
17%
Market
16.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
201244+2740LWDD
2
Houston Dynamo
211227+438WWWW

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game1.3
1.3Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Montero

7Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
1Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Vancouver Whitecaps

0-15'
7.1%
16-30'
7.1%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
7.1%
76-90+'
64.3%

Houston Dynamo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
60%
76-90+'
0%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?+

Our AI model favors Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 61% probability (Draw 22%, Houston Dynamo 17%).

What time does Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 2:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).