Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo

J1 League· Regular Season - 2
Vissel Kobe
22Full-time
FC Tokyo
LWLWGoals 13-108th in league
LLWWGoals 16-1511th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Away0W 1D 0L(2-2)
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe · Capacity 30,132 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 35'Motoki Nagakura (Kein Sato)
  2. 40'Yuya Osako
  3. 46'Gotoku Sakai (I. Takahashi)
  4. 49'Gotoku Sakai (I. Takahashi)
  5. 63'Takahiro Ko (K. Tokiwa)
  6. 63'K. Bangnagande (Hirokazu Ishihara)
  7. 64'Marcelo Ryan (T. Nakagawa)
  8. 69'Motoki Nagakura (T. Nakagawa)
  9. 73'Goal Under Review — Hirokazu Ishihara
  10. 74'Motoki Nagakura (T. Nakagawa)
  11. 74'Katsuya Nagato (Haruya Ide)
  12. 74'Y. Goke (M. Hidaka)
  13. 74'Kein Sato (S. Anzai)
  14. 74'Y. Kuwasaki (R. Komatsu)
  15. 76'Yoshinori Muto (M. Hidaka)
  16. 83'Y. Ideguchi (K. Hamasaki)
  17. 89'S. Homma (Tsuna Kominato)
  18. 90+3'Yoshinori Muto

Lineups

Vissel KobeFC Tokyo
1.3
Goals/game
1.6
1.0
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Vissel Kobe win
43%
Draw
29%
FC Tokyo win
28%
54.8%BTTS
50.6%Over 2.5
27.3%Vissel Kobe clean sheet
24.7%FC Tokyo clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests that Vissel Kobe has the edge at home, having secured a dominant recent victory against Kashima. However, FC Tokyo's struggles put them under pressure, especially as they have conceded heavily in recent matches. Historical encounters have been closely fought, indicating a potential for another tight contest.

  • Vissel Kobe achieved a strong recent home win against Kashima, scoring 5 goals without reply.
  • FC Tokyo is currently at the bottom of the league with a negative goal difference after their recent heavy defeats.
  • Both teams have a history of tightly contested matches, with four out of the last five encounters ending with scoring draws.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Vissel Kobe

  • Higher league positionVissel Kobe

    Vissel Kobe sit 3 places above FC Tokyo in the table.

    #8 vs #11
  • Good recent formVissel Kobe

    Vissel Kobe have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackFC Tokyo

    FC Tokyo are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game
  • Tighter defenseVissel Kobe

    Vissel Kobe are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Vissel Kobe at 43% — final result was a draw, Vissel Kobe 2-2 FC Tokyo.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Vissel Kobe2.25market 44.4% · model 43%
Draw3.19market 31.3% · model 29%
FC Tokyo3.21market 31.2% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Vissel Kobe have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC Tokyo have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Vissel Kobe wins
2Draws
3FC Tokyo wins
10-12Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Vissel Kobe2.25best 2.32
Draw3.19best 3.31
FC Tokyo3.21best 3.34

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.14best 2.22
Under 2.51.67best 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.85best 1.91
No1.85best 1.91

Double chance

Vissel Kobe/Draw1.32best 1.36
Vissel Kobe/FC Tokyo1.32best 1.35
Draw/FC Tokyo1.62best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Vissel Kobe2.25 0.02
Draw3.19 0.09
FC Tokyo3.21 0.02
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Vissel Kobe win+1.5pp
AI
43%
Market
41.5%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
29%
Market
29.3%
FC Tokyo win-1.2pp
AI
28%
Market
29.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Vissel Kobe
311104LDW
11
FC Tokyo
3111-24WDL

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.6
1Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Vissel Kobe

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

FC Tokyo

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

More J1 League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo?+

Our AI model favors Vissel Kobe to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 29%, FC Tokyo 28%).

Where is Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo played?+

The match is played at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe (capacity 30,132).

What time does Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).