Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo

NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe · Capacity 30,132 · grass
Match events
- 35'Motoki Nagakura (Kein Sato)
- 40'Yuya Osako
- 46'Gotoku Sakai (I. Takahashi)
- 49'Gotoku Sakai (I. Takahashi)
- 63'Takahiro Ko (K. Tokiwa)
- 63'K. Bangnagande (Hirokazu Ishihara)
- 64'Marcelo Ryan (T. Nakagawa)
- 69'Motoki Nagakura (T. Nakagawa)
- 73'Goal Under Review — Hirokazu Ishihara
- 74'Motoki Nagakura (T. Nakagawa)
- 74'Katsuya Nagato (Haruya Ide)
- 74'Y. Goke (M. Hidaka)
- 74'Kein Sato (S. Anzai)
- 74'Y. Kuwasaki (R. Komatsu)
- 76'Yoshinori Muto (M. Hidaka)
- 83'Y. Ideguchi (K. Hamasaki)
- 89'S. Homma (Tsuna Kominato)
- 90+3'Yoshinori Muto
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests that Vissel Kobe has the edge at home, having secured a dominant recent victory against Kashima. However, FC Tokyo's struggles put them under pressure, especially as they have conceded heavily in recent matches. Historical encounters have been closely fought, indicating a potential for another tight contest.
- Vissel Kobe achieved a strong recent home win against Kashima, scoring 5 goals without reply.
- FC Tokyo is currently at the bottom of the league with a negative goal difference after their recent heavy defeats.
- Both teams have a history of tightly contested matches, with four out of the last five encounters ending with scoring draws.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Vissel Kobe
- Higher league positionVissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe sit 3 places above FC Tokyo in the table.
#8 vs #11 - Good recent formVissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackFC Tokyo
FC Tokyo are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Tighter defenseVissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Vissel Kobe at 43% — final result was a draw, Vissel Kobe 2-2 FC Tokyo.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Vissel Kobe have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FC Tokyo have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LDW | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Vissel Kobe
FC Tokyo
More J1 League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo?+
Our AI model favors Vissel Kobe to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 29%, FC Tokyo 28%).
Where is Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo played?+
The match is played at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe (capacity 30,132).
What time does Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).













