Vitesse vs Almere City FC
GelreDome, Arnhem · Capacity 25,500 · grass · Referee: E. Blank
Match events
- 44'Jamie Lawrence
- 47'Emmanuel van de Blaak
- 53'F. Druijf (Enzo Cornelisse)
- 55'Hamza El Dahri
- 59'B. Burgering (Job Kalisvaart)
- 59'M. Hoedemakers (Marley Dors)
- 65'M. Marschalk (P. Dahbo)
- 65'M. Hoedemakers (Marley Dors)
- 66'Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira (N. Zonneveld)
- 70'Jamie Lawrence (D. van Bruggen)
- 70'Hamza El Dahri (J. Jacobs)
- 70'Enzo Cornelisse
- 75'Marley Dors (F. Druijf)
- 77'O. Achouitar (E. Probst)
- 77'F. Druijf (Bas Huisman)
- 79'Emanuel Poku (Marley Dors)
- 84'Naoufal Bannis (M. Steffen)
- 84'R. Schwarz (J. Pinto)
Lineups
- 2.4
- Goals/game
- 2.0
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The analysis suggests that Vitesse has a better scoring average, netting 2.4 goals per game recently, compared to Almere City FC's 2 goals per game. However, Almere City FC's historical performance against Vitesse shows a trend of dominance, having won 3 of their last 4 meetings. Given Vitesse's recent form and home advantage, they are favored to secure a narrow victory.
- Vitesse averages 2.4 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
- Almere City FC has not won any of their last 5 matches
- Vitesse's home record shows a recent draw against MVV
- Historically, Almere City FC has a strong record against Vitesse with 3 wins in their last 4 encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Vitesse
- Historical edgeAlmere City FC
Almere City FC have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Good recent formVitesse
Vitesse have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Higher league positionAlmere City FC
Almere City FC sit 7 places above Vitesse in the table.
#4 vs #11 - Sharper attackVitesse
Vitesse are averaging 2.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.4/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Vitesse at 44% — final result was Almere City FC win, Vitesse 0-3 Almere City FC.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Vitesse have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Almere City FC have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 4 |  Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | WWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
E. Blank
Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Vitesse
Almere City FC
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Den BoschVitesseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Vitesse vs Almere City FC?+
Our AI model favors Vitesse to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 25%, Almere City FC 31%).
Where is Vitesse vs Almere City FC played?+
The match is played at GelreDome, Arnhem (capacity 25,500).
What time does Vitesse vs Almere City FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).