VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap
Match events
- 10'J. Kania (T. Mero)
- 11'N. Ahmeti
- 28'Luis Görlich
- 42'N. Ait Mouhou (L. de Blok)
- 45+1'K. Symons
- 45+3'R. Vullers
- 46'D. Eijken (T. Grotenhuis)
- 59'B. van Zijl (G. Finocchiaro)
- 59'N. Ahmeti (T. Braem)
- 62'N. Ait Mouhou (T. Janssen)
- 75'Mohammed Odriss (T. Joosten)
- 75'E. Clancy (D. Hendrix)
- 79'J. Meerstadt (M. Smits)
- 85'E. Zuliani (Y. el Anbri)
- 87'K. Symons (Gijs Bolk)
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 2.1
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-3
Data suggests that De Graafschap, despite their low standing, has a higher scoring average compared to VVV Venlo's defensive record. Historically, the head-to-head results favor De Graafschap, which could indicate an advantage in this matchup. The last match averages indicate that VVV may struggle to outscore De Graafschap, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.
- De Graafschap has scored 2.1 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- VVV Venlo has a recent average of 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded per game
- Head-to-head history shows De Graafschap winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors De Graafschap
- Higher league positionDe Graafschap
De Graafschap sit 1 place above VVV Venlo in the table.
#1 vs #2 - Poor recent formDe Graafschap
De Graafschap have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L - Sharper attackDe Graafschap
De Graafschap are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game - Historical edgeVVV Venlo
VVV Venlo have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked De Graafschap at 42% — final result was VVV Venlo win, VVV Venlo 2-1 De Graafschap.
Predicted score was 2-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- VVV Venlo have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- De Graafschap have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
VVV Venlo
De GraafschapDe GraafschapVVV VenloVVV VenloDe GraafschapDe GraafschapVVV VenloDe GraafschapVVV VenloVVV VenloDe GraafschapVVV VenloDe GraafschapDe GraafschapVVV VenloOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Vos
Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
VVV Venlo
De Graafschap
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VitesseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?+
Our AI model favors De Graafschap to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 24%, VVV Venlo 34%).
What time does VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 2:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).