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Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 4
Widzew Łódź
1–2Full-time
Korona Kielce
WLWDGoals 14-129th in league
WLDDGoals 16-1011th in league
Home0W 1D 1L(3-4)
Away1W 0D 1L(2-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'S. Kapuadi (J. Shehu)
  2. 22'Morgan Fassbender (W. Długosz)
  3. 26'Morgan Fassbender (Marcel Pięczek)
  4. 26'S. Bergier
  5. 44'Jusuf Gazibegovic (Marcel Krajewski)
  6. 46'M. Fornalczyk (Ángel Baena)
  7. 64'M. Remacle (Nono)
  8. 71'E. Kornvig (S. Akere)
  9. 79'Stjepan Davidović (H. Zwoźny)
  10. 79'Mariusz Stępiński (Daniel Bąk)
  11. 84'Fran Álvarez (L. Selahi)
  12. 84'Mario Garcia (Paulinho)
  13. 84'W. Długosz
  14. 89'Morgan Fassbender (Ariel Mosor)
  15. 89'W. Długosz (N. Barczak)
  16. 90'Paulinho
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce
1.4
Goals/game
1.6
1.2
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Widzew Łódź win
48.35%
Draw
28.3%
Korona Kielce win
23.35%
52.6%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
24.7%Widzew Łódź clean sheet
30.1%Korona Kielce clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a closely contested match as Widzew Łódź comes into this game unbeaten in their last 5 outings, while Korona Kielce has struggled early this season. Despite Widzew's decent form, Korona has historically performed well against them, winning the majority of their recent clashes. A predicted score of 1-1 reflects both teams' current scoring patterns and means they may cancel each other out.

  • Widzew Łódź is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws.
  • Korona Kielce has struggled, earning only 1 point from their first 2 matches this season.
  • Historically, Korona Kielce has had the upper hand in their last 5 encounters, winning 3 times against Widzew Łódź.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Widzew Łódź

  • Higher league positionWidzew Łódź

    Widzew Łódź sit 2 places above Korona Kielce in the table.

    #9 vs #11
  • Sharper attackKorona Kielce

    Korona Kielce are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game
  • Historical edgeKorona Kielce

    Korona Kielce have won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

    4/7 H2H wins
  • Good recent formWidzew Łódź

    Widzew Łódź have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Widzew Łódź at 48.35% — final result was Korona Kielce win, Widzew Łódź 1-2 Korona Kielce.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Widzew Łódź2.00market 50.1% · model 48.35%
Draw3.20market 31.3% · model 28.3%
Korona Kielce ✓3.79market 26.4% · model 23.35%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Widzew Łódź have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Korona Kielce have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Widzew Łódź wins
1Draws
4Korona Kielce wins
6-9Goals
Korona Kielce
2–1Apr 11, 2025, 6:30 PM
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
1–0Dec 4, 2024, 5:00 PM
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
0–1Oct 4, 2024, 6:30 PM
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
3–1Apr 1, 2024, 3:30 PM
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
1–1Sep 22, 2023, 4:00 PM
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
0–3May 27, 2023, 3:30 PM
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
0–1Nov 12, 2022, 11:30 AM
Widzew Łódź

Odds comparison

Match winner

Widzew Łódź2.00▲best 2.09
Draw3.20▼best 3.37
Korona Kielce3.79▼best 4.08

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.13best 2.20
Under 2.51.67best 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.88▼best 1.96
No1.84▲best 1.91

Double chance

Widzew Łódź/Draw1.24▲best 1.31
Widzew Łódź/Korona Kielce1.31best 1.33
Draw/Korona Kielce1.76▼best 1.84

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50▼best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.45▲best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.23best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.80best 4.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Widzew Łódź2.00▲ 0.04
Draw3.20▼ 0.05
Korona Kielce3.79▲ 0.03
12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Widzew Łódź win+1.9pp
AI
48.35%
Market
46.5%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
28.3%
Market
29%
Korona Kielce win-1.1pp
AI
23.35%
Market
24.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
9
Widzew Łódź
5131+16LWDD
11
Korona Kielce
412105DWDL

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.6
1.2Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

K. Arys

1Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Widzew Łódź

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
40%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
0%

Korona Kielce

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?+

Our AI model favors Widzew Łódź to win, with a 48.35% probability (Draw 28.3%, Korona Kielce 23.35%).

What time does Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).