Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers
Value found
+1.5% edgeYokohama BayStars win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yokohama BayStars | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
 Hanshin Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-5
The data suggests that the Hanshin Tigers have been dominant in their recent head-to-head matchups against the Yokohama BayStars, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters. Despite the BayStars' strong home win rate this season at 68%, they have struggled offensively with an average of just 2.7 runs scored in their last 10 games, while the Tigers have averaged 3.6 runs. Based on the current form and statistics, the prediction leans toward the Tigers having the edge in this matchup.
- Hanshin Tigers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Yokohama BayStars.
- Yokohama BayStars have a home win rate of 68%, but struggled recently with a low scoring average.
- Hanshin Tigers scored an average of 3.6 runs in their last 10 games, while Yokohama scored only 2.7 runs.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yokohama BayStars
- Historical edgeHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackHanshin Tigers
Hanshin Tigers are averaging 3.3 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yokohama BayStars at 60% — final result was Hanshin Tigers win, Yokohama BayStars 1-4 Hanshin Tigers.
Predicted score was 3-5.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hanshin Tigers have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama BayStars are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Hanshin Tigers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yokohama BayStars | Hanshin Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.15▲ | 1.32▼ |
| -2 | 2.95▲ | 1.35 |
| -1.5 | 2.41▲ | 1.53▼ |
| -1 | 2.03▲ | 1.67▼ |
| -0.5 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
| +0.5 | 1.65 | 2.12 |
| +1 | 1.47▲ | 2.39▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.40▲ | 2.77▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.33 | 2.90▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.46 | 2.50 |
| 7 | 1.58 | 2.22▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.80▼ | 1.94 |
| 8 | 1.92 | 1.79▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.10▼ | 1.67▲ |
| 9 | 2.42 | 1.50 |
| 9.5 | 2.66 | 1.44 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 | Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Yokohama BayStars to win, with a 60% probability (Hanshin Tigers 40%).
What time does Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers?+
Yokohama BayStars: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Hanshin Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1. Final: 1-4.