Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers

NPB
LLWWRuns 32-343rd in Central Division · 52-64
LLWWRuns 33-241st in Central Division · 65-50
Home13W 6L(88-72)
Away11W 8L(79-72)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Yokohama BayStars
0001001103120
Hanshin Tigers
1010010025111

AI match analysis

Yokohama BayStars win
43%
Hanshin Tigers win
57%

Predicted score: 3-4

The data suggests that the Hanshin Tigers are favored in this matchup against the Yokohama BayStars based on recent performance and head-to-head results. Historically, the Tigers have dominated in their last few encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 matchups. With Yokohama struggling offensively and defensively recently, the expected outcome leans towards a narrow victory for Hanshin.

  • Yokohama BayStars have lost 4 of their last 5 games against the Hanshin Tigers.
  • Hanshin Tigers have a stronger season win percentage at 0.564 compared to Yokohama's 0.450.
  • In their last 10 games, Yokohama has averaged 2.8 runs scored and 3.5 runs allowed per game, indicating a struggling offense and defense.
  • Hanshin has scored an average of 3.8 runs and allowed only 2.4 runs in their last 10 games, demonstrating a solid form.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hanshin Tigers

  • Historical edgeHanshin Tigers

    Hanshin Tigers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    5/5 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formYokohama BayStars

    Yokohama BayStars have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formHanshin Tigers

    Hanshin Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackHanshin Tigers

    Hanshin Tigers are averaging 3.3 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    3.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 57% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Hanshin Tigers at 57% — final result was Hanshin Tigers win, Yokohama BayStars 3-5 Hanshin Tigers.

Predicted score was 3-4.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hanshin Tigers1.68market 59.7% · model 57%
Yokohama BayStars2.14market 46.7% · model 43%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Hanshin Tigers have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Yokohama BayStars are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Hanshin Tigers.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Yokohama BayStars2.14best 2.24AI 43%
Hanshin Tigers1.68best 1.76AI 57%

Point spread

LineYokohama BayStarsHanshin Tigers
-1.53.341.29
-12.751.36
-0.52.171.62
+0.52.061.69
+11.741.93
+1.51.612.25
+21.442.61
+2.51.362.88

Total points

LineOverUnder
51.342.96
5.51.552.33
61.642.13
6.51.831.91
72.031.71
7.52.271.56
82.561.45
8.52.751.39

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Yokohama BayStars2.14 0.02
Hanshin Tigers1.68 0.01
23 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Yokohama BayStars win-0.9pp
AI
43%
Market
43.9%
Hanshin Tigers win+0.9pp
AI
57%
Market
56.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Yokohama BayStars wins
5Hanshin Tigers wins
6-17Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Hanshin Tigers
1156550+6656
2
Yomiuri Giants
1176354+3054
3
Yokohama BayStars
1165264+545
4
Yakult Swallows
1155164-7944
5
Chunichi Dragons
1195168-643
6
Hiroshima Carp
1124666-7441
1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
1167244+18162
2
Seibu Lions
1196752+3756
3
Nippon Ham Fighters
1196554+6455
4
Orix Buffaloes
1185662-7148
5
Chiba Lotte Marines
1135261-7146
6
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
1154570-8239

More NPB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers?+

Our AI model favors Hanshin Tigers to win, with a 57% probability (Yokohama BayStars 43%).

What time does Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers start?+

First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Yokohama BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers?+

Yokohama BayStars: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0. Hanshin Tigers: 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2. Final: 3-5.