Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants
Value found
+0.6% edgeYokohama BayStars win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yokohama BayStars | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
 Yomiuri Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests that the Yokohama BayStars, with a strong home win rate of 58%, have an edge playing at home. Historically, they have fared well against the Yomiuri Giants, winning 7 of the last 10 matchups. The Giants struggle away from home, evident in their 37% win rate in away games, which may give Yokohama the opportunity to capitalize.
- Yokohama BayStars have won 7 of their last 10 matchups against Yomiuri Giants.
- Yokohama has a 58% home win rate this season, indicating strong performance at home.
- Yomiuri Giants have a lower away win rate of 37%, suggesting difficulties in games away from home.
- The average runs scored in Yokohama's last 10 games is lower than Yomiuri's, which aligns with projected scoring.],
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Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yokohama BayStars
- Historical edgeYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Strong home recordYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have won 13 of their last 19 home matches.
13/19 home wins - Strong away recordYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 8 of their last 19 away matches.
8/19 away wins - Sharper attackYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants are averaging 3.9 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yokohama BayStars at 58% — final result was Yokohama BayStars win, Yokohama BayStars 4-3 Yomiuri Giants.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama BayStars are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Yomiuri Giants.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yokohama BayStars | Yomiuri Giants |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.16▼ | 1.32▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.64▲ | 1.45▲ |
| -1 | 2.09▼ | 1.63▲ |
| -0.5 | 1.79 | 1.92 |
| +0.5 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
| +1 | 1.48▼ | 2.36▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.42▲ | 2.67▲ |
| +2 | 1.33 | 3.16▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.42 | 2.63 |
| 6.5 | 1.57 | 2.28 |
| 7 | 1.70▲ | 2.04▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| 8 | 2.09▲ | 1.66▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.28▲ | 1.57 |
| 9 | 2.62▲ | 1.42 |
| 9.5 | 2.83 | 1.37 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 | Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 | Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Our AI model favors Yokohama BayStars to win, with a 58% probability (Yomiuri Giants 42%).
What time does Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants start?+
First pitch is at Aug 18, 2026, 8:45 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Yokohama BayStars: 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. Yomiuri Giants: 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 4-3.