Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants
Value found
+6.4% edgeYokohama BayStars win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yokohama BayStars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 7 | 0 |
 Yomiuri Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests that the Yokohama BayStars hold a significant home advantage, with a 63% win rate at their venue and a favorable recent head-to-head record against the Yomiuri Giants. The Giants, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, indicated by their notably low away win rate of 32%. Considering the overall performance trends and historical matchups, probabilities lean towards a BayStars victory.
- Yokohama BayStars have won 4 of their last 5 meetings against the Yomiuri Giants.
- Yokohama has a strong home win rate of 63% this season.
- Yomiuri Giants have struggled on the road with a 32% away win rate this season.
- Yokohama has averaged 2.6 runs scored and 3.6 runs allowed in their last 10 games.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yokohama BayStars
- Historical edgeYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Strong home recordYokohama BayStars
Yokohama BayStars have won 13 of their last 19 home matches.
13/19 home wins - Strong away recordYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 8 of their last 19 away matches.
8/19 away wins - Sharper attackYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants are averaging 3.9 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yokohama BayStars at 63% — final result was Yokohama BayStars win, Yokohama BayStars 1-0 Yomiuri Giants.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yokohama BayStars have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yokohama BayStars are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Yomiuri Giants.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yokohama BayStars | Yomiuri Giants |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.43▲ | 1.28▼ |
| -2 | 3.00▲ | 1.34▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.55▲ | 1.48▼ |
| -1 | 2.09▲ | 1.63▼ |
| -0.5 | 1.67 | 2.08▲ |
| +0.5 | 1.59 | 2.24▲ |
| +1 | 1.44▲ | 2.47▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.37▲ | 2.90▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.34▲ | 2.89▼ |
| 5.5 | 1.56▼ | 2.29▼ |
| 6 | 1.65 | 2.11▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| 7 | 2.07▲ | 1.68 |
| 7.5 | 2.34▼ | 1.54 |
| 8 | 2.63 | 1.42 |
| 8.5 | 2.83▲ | 1.41 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 | Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 | Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Our AI model favors Yokohama BayStars to win, with a 63% probability (Yomiuri Giants 37%).
What time does Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants start?+
First pitch is at Aug 19, 2026, 8:45 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yokohama BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Yokohama BayStars: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Yomiuri Giants: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 1-0.