York United vs Supra du Quebec — Canadian Premier League

Canadian Premier League· Group Stage

York United

1–1Full-time

Supra du Quebec

DLWLDWGoals 14-197th in league

DDLLGoals 7-96th in league

Home3W 2D 3L(15-19)

Away3W 2D 4L(16-18)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

14'J. Altobelli (S. Yeates)
15'A. Almagro
34'I. Conde
42'D. Choiniere
57'J. Altobelli (B. Badibanga)
61'L. A. Kwemi (D. Choiniere)
64'T. Skublak
68'D. Abzi
68'O. Bassett (K. Kibato)
69'C. Guzman
79'D. Choiniere (R. Bey)
83'A. Sissoko (C. Auguste)
86'O. León
89'K. Kibato
90+3'D. Abzi
90+3'D. Abzi
90+4'S. Rea (Z. Fernandez)
90+7'J. Cordova (S. Gonzales)
90+8'C. Auguste

Lineups unavailable for this match.

York UnitedSupra du Quebec

1.4
Goals/game: 1.8; 1.9
Conceded/game: 2.3

AI match analysis

York United win

29.47%

Draw

24.25%

Supra du Quebec win

46.29%

70.4%BTTS

70.6%Over 2.5

16.1%York United clean sheet

16.1%Supra du Quebec clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that York United struggles at home with only 3 wins in 7 matches this season, while Supra du Quebec has a slightly better away record. Additionally, recent form highlights York's inconsistency with 3 losses in their last 5 games. The numbers favor an away win given Supra's scoring averages against York's defensive vulnerabilities.

York United has only won 3 of their 7 home games this season
Supra du Quebec has a higher away win percentage at 37.5%
Recent form shows York United's last 5 matches include 3 losses and only 1 win
Supra du Quebec has averaged 1.75 scored and 2.25 conceded in their last 4 matches

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

74/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Supra du Quebec

Weak home recordYork United
York United have won 3 of their last 8 home matches.
3/8 home wins
Weak away recordSupra du Quebec
Supra du Quebec have won 3 of their last 9 away matches.
3/9 away wins
Sharper attackSupra du Quebec
Supra du Quebec are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game
Tighter defenseYork United
York United are conceding just 1.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Supra du Quebec has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Supra du Quebec at 46.29% — final result was a draw, York United 1-1 Supra du Quebec.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Supra du Quebec1.99market 50.3% · model 46.29%

York United3.08market 32.5% · model 29.47%

Draw ✓3.66market 27.3% · model 24.25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

York United have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Supra du Quebec have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 4 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

York United3.08▲best 3.25

Draw3.66▲best 3.85

Supra du Quebec1.99▼best 2.15

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.46▼best 1.57

Under 2.52.54▲best 2.65

Both teams to score

Yes1.41▼best 1.44

No2.63▲best 2.75

Double chance

York United/Draw1.69▲best 1.85

York United/Supra du Quebec1.22▼best 1.29

Draw/Supra du Quebec1.31▼best 1.36

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25▲best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75▼best 3.75

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.50▲best 5.50

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.12▼best 1.12

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

York United3.08▲ 0.12

Draw3.66▲ 0.16

Supra du Quebec1.99▼ 0.15

22 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

York United win0pp

29.47%

Market

29.5%

Draw-0.6pp

24.25%

Market

24.8%

Supra du Quebec win+0.6pp

46.29%

Market

45.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.