Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona Diamondbacks | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | — | 9 | 15 | 0 |
 Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
The data suggests a competitive matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks showing slightly stronger overall scoring averages compared to the Cincinnati Reds. However, recent head-to-head outcomes favor the Reds, who have won 4 of the last 5 games between the teams. Arizona's ability to score consistently gives them a slight edge, but Cincinnati's historical performance against them cannot be overlooked.
- Arizona Diamondbacks averaging 4.6 runs scored per game over last 10 matches
- Cincinnati Reds conceding 5.2 runs per game on average in last 10 matches
- Cincinnati Reds have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Arizona Diamondbacks
- Historical edgeArizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 52.1% — final result was Arizona Diamondbacks win, Arizona Diamondbacks 9-0 Cincinnati Reds.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Arizona Diamondbacks have averaged 4.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cincinnati Reds have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Arizona Diamondbacks are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Cincinnati Reds.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Arizona Diamondbacks | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 3.69 | 1.25 |
| -2.5 | 3.07 | 1.35 |
| -2 | 2.76 | 1.42 |
| -1.5 | 2.40 | 1.58 |
| -1 | 1.96 | 1.83 |
| +1 | 1.46 | 2.60 |
| +1.5 | 1.39 | 2.90 |
| +2.5 | 1.24 | 3.80 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.40 | 2.83 |
| 7 | 1.48 | 2.58 |
| 7.5 | 1.69 | 2.13 |
| 8 | 1.79 | 1.99 |
| 8.5 | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| 9 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 9.5 | 2.43 | 1.53 |
| 10 | 2.70 | 1.42 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
St.Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh PiratesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds?+
Our AI model favors Arizona Diamondbacks to win, with a 52.1% probability (Cincinnati Reds 47.9%).
What time does Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 1:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds?+
Arizona Diamondbacks: 1, 3, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 2. Cincinnati Reds: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 9-0.