Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB
WWWWRuns 26-301st in NL East Division · 78-55
WLLLRuns 47-391st in NL West Division · 80-53
Home10W 10L(75-87)
Away15W 5L(101-64)

Value found

+0.5% edge

Los Angeles Dodgers win

1.64AI fair odds
1.65Bookmaker odds
+0.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Atlanta Braves
30000001490
Los Angeles Dodgers
0201000003100

AI match analysis

Atlanta Braves win
39%
Los Angeles Dodgers win
61%

Predicted score: 3-5

The data suggests that while the Atlanta Braves hold a solid position in the NL East, their recent form has been concerning, particularly in terms of run production, averaging only 2.3 runs over their last ten games. In contrast, the Los Angeles Dodgers have been more consistent, with a strong away win rate of 85% this season and averaging 4.7 runs scored during the same period. The historical head-to-head record slightly favors Atlanta, but the overall trends point to Los Angeles as the more potent team entering this matchup.

  • Los Angeles Dodgers have an 85% away win rate this season.
  • Atlanta Braves scored an average of only 2.3 runs in their last 10 games.
  • Dodgers have outperformed Braves in head-to-head matchups recently, winning 3 of the last 5.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Sharper attackLos Angeles Dodgers

    Los Angeles Dodgers are averaging 4.7 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    4.7/game
  • Strong home recordAtlanta Braves

    Atlanta Braves have won 10 of their last 20 home matches.

    10/20 home wins
  • Strong away recordLos Angeles Dodgers

    Los Angeles Dodgers have won 15 of their last 20 away matches.

    15/20 away wins
  • Historical edgeAtlanta Braves

    Atlanta Braves have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Los Angeles Dodgers at 61% — final result was Atlanta Braves win, Atlanta Braves 4-3 Los Angeles Dodgers.

Predicted score was 3-5.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Los Angeles Dodgers1.65market 60.7% · model 61%
Atlanta Braves2.30market 43.5% · model 39%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Atlanta Braves have averaged 2.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Atlanta Braves are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Los Angeles Dodgers.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Atlanta Braves2.30best 2.37AI 39%
Los Angeles Dodgers1.65best 1.68AI 61%

Point spread

LineAtlanta BravesLos Angeles Dodgers
-1.53.401.29
-13.021.37
+12.011.80
+1.51.772.07
+21.602.31
+2.51.482.58
+31.372.99
+3.51.283.49

Total points

LineOverUnder
71.422.76
7.51.612.27
81.722.11
8.51.861.96
92.041.75
9.52.261.61
102.541.49
10.52.711.42

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Atlanta Braves2.30 0.02
Los Angeles Dodgers1.65
25 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Atlanta Braves win-2.7pp
AI
39%
Market
41.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers win+2.7pp
AI
61%
Market
58.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Atlanta Braves wins
2Los Angeles Dodgers wins
15-20Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers?+

Our AI model favors Los Angeles Dodgers to win, with a 61% probability (Atlanta Braves 39%).

What time does Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers start?+

First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers?+

Atlanta Braves: 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 0, 2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-3.