Atlante FC vs Toluca
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City · Capacity 87,000 · grass
Match events
- 13'Aarón Quirós
- 29'E. Jiménez (Walter Clar)
- 53'O. Vazquez (Martin Sarrafiore)
- 60'D. Barbosa (P. Pérez)
- 60'Jesús Ricardo Angulo (Helinho)
- 74'Erick Gutierrez (F. Arce)
- 75'L. García (Hugo Gonzalez)
- 80'L. Puente (J. Moxica)
- 82'Jorge Diaz (Víctor Guzmán)
- 90+9'J. N. Carrera
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests Toluca enters this match in better form, having won two of their last three fixtures and boasting a strong away record. In contrast, Atlante FC has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match recently. Given these factors, the numbers favor Toluca to secure a victory.
- Toluca currently ranked 3rd, indicating strong form.
- Atlante FC has lost their last three away games.
- Toluca has a solid away record this season with a win.
- Atlante FC has averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Toluca
- Weak home recordAtlante FC
Atlante FC have won 0 of their last 1 home matches.
0/1 home wins - Strong away recordToluca
Toluca have won 1 of their last 1 away matches.
1/1 away wins - Higher league positionToluca
Toluca sit 7 places above Atlante FC in the table.
#3 vs #10 - Poor recent formAtlante FC
Atlante FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Toluca at 61.09% — final result was a draw, Atlante FC 0-0 Toluca.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Atlante FC have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toluca have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 3 |  Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Atlante FC
Toluca
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Club AmericaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Atlante FC vs Toluca?+
Our AI model favors Toluca to win, with a 61.09% probability (Draw 21.74%, Atlante FC 17.17%).
Where is Atlante FC vs Toluca played?+
The match is played at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City (capacity 87,000).
What time does Atlante FC vs Toluca kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).