Bay of Plenty vs Taranaki
Value found
+16.7% edgeDraw
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by half
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Bay of Plenty | — | — | 28 |
 Taranaki | — | — | 24 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 31-21
Data suggests that Bay of Plenty holds a strong advantage, having won 3 of their last 5 matches while Taranaki has struggled with 3 losses in their last 5 games. Additionally, historically, Bay of Plenty has dominated their recent head-to-head matchups, winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters. Given these trends, the numbers favor a home victory.
- Bay of Plenty won 3 of their last 5 matches
- Taranaki lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Head-to-head record favors Bay of Plenty with 3 wins in last 5 encounters
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Bay of Plenty
- Tighter defenseBay of Plenty
Bay of Plenty are conceding just 21.5 points per game over their recent matches.
21.5/game conceded - Historical edgeBay of Plenty
Bay of Plenty have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Good recent formBay of Plenty
Bay of Plenty have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formTaranaki
Taranaki have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Bay of Plenty at 60% — final result was Bay of Plenty win, Bay of Plenty 28-24 Taranaki.
Predicted score was 31-21.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (62/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Bay of Plenty have averaged 31.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Taranaki have averaged 25.3 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Bay of Plenty are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Taranaki.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Points spread
| Line | Bay of Plenty | Taranaki |
|---|---|---|
| -10 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| -9 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| -8.5 | 1.98 | 1.77 |
| -8 | 1.98 | 1.81 |
| -7.5 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| -7 | 1.87 | 1.91 |
| -6.5 | 1.78 | 1.94 |
| -5.5 | 1.72 | 2.04 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5 | 1.69 | 2.08 |
| 58.5 | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| 59 | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| 59.5 | 1.86 | 1.89 |
| 60 | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| 60.5 | 1.91 | 1.84 |
| 61 | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| 61.5 | 2.04 | 1.72 |
Average price across 8 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
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AucklandFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Bay of Plenty vs Taranaki?+
Our AI model favors Bay of Plenty to win, with a 60% probability (Taranaki 35%).
What time does Bay of Plenty vs Taranaki kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 7:35 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by half in Bay of Plenty vs Taranaki?+
Bay of Plenty: . Taranaki: . Final: 28-24.