Bolívar vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — Primera División

Primera División· Apertura - 15

Bolívar

4–1Full-time

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

WDWWDLGoals 31-142nd in league

LWWWLLGoals 21-2112th in league

Home6W 1D 1L(25-8)

Away0W 1D 7L(5-23)

Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz · Capacity 45,000 · grass

Value found

+44.5% edge

San Antonio Bulo Bulo win

11.11AI fair odds

16.05Bookmaker odds

+44.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

2'Billy Arce (D. Romero)
27'C. Machado (R. Menacho)
30'Goal Disallowed - video review — D. Romero
31'D. Romero (Fernando Mena)
41'D. Romero
55'M. Cauteruccio
58'R. Menacho (J. Perea)
58'César Romero (C. Preciado)
62'C. Melgar (B. Miranda)
62'Jhon Velásquez (José Sagredo)
68'Billy Arce (Damian Batallini)
68'D. Romero (Patito Rodríguez)
74'Mercado Diego (C. Ricaldez)
74'J. Magallanes (Marcelo De Lima)
76'C. Preciado
76'R. Ballivian
78'S. Villamil
80'M. Cauteruccio (M. Cauteruccio)
84'M. Cauteruccio (L. Chávez)
87'A. Terrazas (S. Guerra)
90+9'B. Miranda (Damian Batallini)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

BolívarSan Antonio Bulo Bulo

3.1
Goals/game: 2.1; 1.4
Conceded/game: 2.1

AI match analysis

Bolívar win

81%

Draw

10%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo win

76.5%BTTS

80.9%Over 2.5

17.4%Bolívar clean sheet

7.4%San Antonio Bulo Bulo clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-1

Data suggests Bolívar is strong at home with a current unbeaten record and has consistently outperformed San Antonio Bulo Bulo in their head-to-head meetings, including a decisive 5-0 victory in their last clash. San Antonio's struggles away from home, with five consecutive losses, alongside a negative goal differential, further complicate their prospects in this match. With an average of 3.3 goals scored at home this season, Bolívar appears poised to secure a comfortable win.

Bolívar unbeaten at home this season (5W 1D 1L)
San Antonio Bulo Bulo has lost all 5 away games this season
Bolívar has outscored San Antonio Bulo Bulo 5-0 in their last match
Historically, Bolívar has won the last 5 encounters against San Antonio Bulo Bulo.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Bolívar

Strong home recordBolívar
Bolívar have won 6 of their last 8 home matches.
6/8 home wins
Weak away recordSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo have won 0 of their last 8 away matches.
0/8 away wins
Historical edgeBolívar
Bolívar have won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
4/7 H2H wins
Higher league positionBolívar
Bolívar sit 10 places above San Antonio Bulo Bulo in the table.
#2 vs #12

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Bolívar at 81% — final result was Bolívar win, Bolívar 4-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo.

Predicted score was 3-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Bolívar ✓1.10market 91.2% · model 81%

Draw8.82market 11.3% · model 10%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo16.05market 6.2% · model 9%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Bolívar have averaged 3.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Bolívar wins

2Draws

1San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins

12-3Goals

Bolívar

5–0Dec 12, 2025, 12:15 AM

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

0–1Aug 6, 2025, 7:00 PM

Bolívar

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

0–2Dec 22, 2024, 9:00 PM

Bolívar

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1–3Dec 10, 2024, 7:00 PM

Bolívar

0–0Aug 20, 2024, 12:00 AM

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Bolívar

1–1Apr 18, 2024, 11:00 PM

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1–0Apr 14, 2024, 7:00 PM

Bolívar

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bolívar1.10▼best 1.15

Draw8.82▲best 10.50

San Antonio Bulo Bulo16.05▲best 23.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.17▼best 1.23

Under 2.54.33▲best 5.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.73▼best 2.02

No1.99▲best 2.10

Double chance

Bolívar/Draw1.02best 1.04

Bolívar/San Antonio Bulo Bulo1.04best 1.07

Draw/San Antonio Bulo Bulo5.99▲best 8.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62▼best 1.62

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20▲best 2.20

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes23.00▲best 23.00

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.01best 1.01

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bolívar1.10▲ 0.02

Draw8.82▼ 0.62

San Antonio Bulo Bulo16.05▼ 6.75

13 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Bolívar win-2.8pp

81%

Market

83.8%

Draw-0.4pp

10%

Market

10.4%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo win+3.3pp

Market

5.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.