Bristol Rovers vs Newport County
Match events
- 1'Harrison Biggins (C. Doidge)
- 8'C. Mola
- 45+1'B. Purrington
- 53'F. Cavegn (T. James)
- 57'L. Jenkins
- 61'S. Gwengwe (C. Doidge)
- 74'Cameron Evans (Matthew Smith)
- 74'Thomas Davies (A. Merritt)
- 74'C. Doidge (D. Sassi)
- 74'Bobby Kamwa (B. Young)
- 75'Bobby Kamwa
- 76'C. Brennan
- 79'Bobby Kamwa (J. Aitchison)
- 85'S. Forde (R. Russell-Denny)
- 85'T. James (Richard Smallwood)
- 85'Y. Bamba (C. Jarvis)
- 87'T. Leigh (Ellis Harrison)
- 90+1'C. Jarvis (A. Merritt)
- 90+6'Harrison Biggins (Keenan Patten)
- 90+9'F. Cavegn (R. Russell-Denny)
Lineups
- 2.0
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that Bristol Rovers have had a favorable head-to-head record against Newport County, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters. While Bristol Rovers have struggled recently, their scoring average remains solid at 2 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Newport County, although currently positioned well in the league, has shown vulnerability in away matches, with only 1 win in their last 5 trips.
- Bristol Rovers won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Newport County
- Bristol Rovers average 2 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- Newport County's away form showcases 1 win in their last 5 away games
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Bristol Rovers
- Higher league positionBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers sit 1 place above Newport County in the table.
#10 vs #11 - Poor recent formBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Good recent formNewport County
Newport County have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Bristol Rovers at 56.74% — final result was Bristol Rovers win, Bristol Rovers 5-3 Newport County.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (94/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Bristol Rovers have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Newport County have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Bristol Rovers
Newport CountyNewport CountyBristol RoversNewport CountyBristol RoversBristol RoversNewport CountyNewport CountyBristol RoversBristol RoversNewport CountyBristol RoversNewport CountyNewport CountyBristol RoversOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
S. Mather
Based on 10 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Bristol Rovers vs Newport County?+
Our AI model favors Bristol Rovers to win, with a 56.74% probability (Draw 23.36%, Newport County 19.9%).
What time does Bristol Rovers vs Newport County kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).