Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
Match events
- 41'G. Gómez (Jhon Arias)
- 46'I. Ramírez (Mateo Klimowicz)
- 52'F. Dominguez
- 53'José López
- 62'A. Gamarra (Juan Iturbe)
- 62'M. Chaparro (G. Benítez)
- 64'Abel Ferreira
- 74'Vitor Roque (Maurício)
- 76'Ignacio Aliseda (J. Torres)
- 81'Murilo Cerqueira (Bruno Fuchs)
- 83'F. Dominguez (L. J. Servin)
- 90+1'Lucas Evangelista (Emiliano Martínez)
- 90+2'J. Morel
- 90'Allan (Agustín Giay)
- 90'Jhon Arias (Luis Pacheco)
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 0.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Palmeiras has a stronger recent away form, including two consecutive wins away from home. Cerro Porteno remains unbeaten in their last five home matches, but their scoring averages are low with only 0.9 goals per game. Historically, Palmeiras dominates the head-to-head encounters, further supporting the expectation that they are likely to win this matchup.
- Cerro Porteno unbeaten in last 5 home games
- Palmeiras has a superior away record with 3 consecutive wins
- Recent head-to-head matches favor Palmeiras significantly
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Palmeiras
- Historical edgePalmeiras
Palmeiras have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Strong home recordCerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
2/3 home wins - Weak away recordPalmeiras
Palmeiras have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins - Tighter defenseCerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno are conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Palmeiras at 52.13% — final result was Palmeiras win, Cerro Porteno 0-1 Palmeiras.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cerro Porteno have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Palmeiras have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 | WWDW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 | LWDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
F. Tello
Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras?+
Our AI model favors Palmeiras to win, with a 52.13% probability (Draw 29.24%, Cerro Porteno 18.63%).
What time does Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).