Cheltenham vs Rotherham
Match events
- 30'C. McCann (R. Broom)
- 35'Kian Spence
- 38'Jonathan Tomkinson
- 40'S. McWilliams
- 46'S. McWilliams (J. Evans)
- 58'K. Otchere (J. Bickerstaff)
- 62'Jili Buyabu (Fábio Tavares)
- 70'R. Broom (J. Tomlinson)
- 70'Jordan Shipley (Andreas Weimann)
- 71'J. Evans (Robbie Cundy)
- 72'Sonny Aljofree (Tom Bradshaw)
- 72'Brandon Cover (Ossama Ashley)
- 73'P. Sweeney
- 79'Jili Buyabu (ArJany Martha)
- 90+1'C. McCann (F. Willcox)
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Rotherham may have a slight edge going into this match, given their historical performance against Cheltenham and their recent win. Cheltenham's struggles in their last matches, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, indicate potential defensive vulnerabilities. With both teams yet to earn points this season, a tightly contested match could favor Rotherham.
- Cheltenham lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Rotherham's average goals scored is just 0.7 over their last 10 games
- Historically, Rotherham has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Cheltenham
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rotherham
- Higher league positionCheltenham
Cheltenham sit 3 places above Rotherham in the table.
#14 vs #17 - Sharper attackCheltenham
Cheltenham are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game - Historical edgeRotherham
Rotherham have won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
4/7 H2H wins - Poor recent formCheltenham
Cheltenham have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rotherham at 36.31% — final result was Cheltenham win, Cheltenham 2-1 Rotherham.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cheltenham have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rotherham have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |  Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 17 |  Rotherham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Rotherham
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Chesterfield
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cheltenham vs Rotherham?+
Our AI model favors Rotherham to win, with a 36.31% probability (Draw 28.85%, Cheltenham 34.85%).
What time does Cheltenham vs Rotherham kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).