Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
Match events
- 28'Kyle McFadzean
- 30'C. Evans
- 35'C. Evans
- 45+3'R. Cirino
- 55'K. Thompson-Sommers (A. Cannon)
- 67'R. Sotiriou (Liam Mandeville)
- 67'L. Bonis (F. Bryden)
- 71'R. Cirino (D. Andrew)
- 78'C. Evans (A. Loupalo-Bi)
- 82'Harrison Neal
- 87'George McEachran (Tom Naylor)
- 87'J. Koroma (Danny Anisjko)
- 88'Lewis Gordon (Malik Owolabi-Belewu)
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 0.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests that Chesterfield comes into this matchup with a stronger recent form compared to Fleetwood Town, who are facing relegation struggles. Chesterfield has secured two wins in their last five games, while Fleetwood Town has struggled to find the back of the net in away matches. Historically, Chesterfield has had a slight advantage in head-to-head encounters, adding to their position as favorites.
- Chesterfield lost their last match against Fleetwood Town
- Chesterfield has won 2 of their last 5 matches
- Fleetwood Town's away form shows they have difficulty scoring
- Head-to-head records indicate Chesterfield has a slight historical edge
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chesterfield
- Higher league positionFleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town sit 7 places above Chesterfield in the table.
#9 vs #16 - Tighter defenseChesterfield
Chesterfield are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded - Historical edgeFleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Strong recent formFleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 1 win.
1W 4D 0L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chesterfield at 53.42% — final result was Fleetwood Town win, Chesterfield 0-1 Fleetwood Town.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (89/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chesterfield have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fleetwood Town have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Fleetwood Town
ChesterfieldFleetwood TownChesterfieldChesterfieldFleetwood TownChesterfieldFleetwood TownFleetwood TownChesterfieldFleetwood TownChesterfieldChesterfieldFleetwood TownChesterfieldFleetwood TownOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WL |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | DW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Dale
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Chesterfield
More League Two predictions
Port Vale
Crewe
Barnet
Cheltenham
RotherhamChesterfield
Gillingham
NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?+
Our AI model favors Chesterfield to win, with a 53.42% probability (Draw 26.13%, Fleetwood Town 20.45%).
What time does Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).