Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago White Sox | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
 New York Mets | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
The analysis indicates a competitive matchup, with the Chicago White Sox averaging 5 runs scored per game in their recent form, suggesting a potent offense. Meanwhile, the New York Mets, while slightly more defensively solid, have shown vulnerability lately, conceding an average of 3.7 runs. Historically, the White Sox have had the upper hand in their recent encounters with the Mets, lending further credence to their potential advantage in this matchup.
- Chicago White Sox scored 5 runs per game over last 10 matches
- New York Mets allowed 3.7 runs per game over last 10 matches
- Chicago White Sox lead recent head-to-heads, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chicago White Sox
- Good recent formChicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formNew York Mets
New York Mets have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeChicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 47% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chicago White Sox at 47% — final result was New York Mets win, Chicago White Sox 5-10 New York Mets.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chicago White Sox have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Mets have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago White Sox are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with New York Mets.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chicago White Sox | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.71▲ | 1.27▼ |
| -2 | 3.46▲ | 1.33▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.68▲ | 1.45▼ |
| -1 | 2.25▲ | 1.62▼ |
| +1 | 1.63▲ | 2.25▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.51▲ | 2.53▼ |
| +2 | 1.37▼ | 3.03▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.31 | 3.32▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.44▲ | 2.77▼ |
| 7 | 1.51▲ | 2.46▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.72▲ | 2.09▼ |
| 8 | 1.83 | 1.92▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.00▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 9 | 2.24 | 1.61 |
| 9.5 | 2.50▲ | 1.51▼ |
| 10 | 2.77▼ | 1.40 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Who is likely to win Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets?+
Our AI model favors Chicago White Sox to win, with a 47% probability (New York Mets 53%).
What time does Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets?+
Chicago White Sox: 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0. New York Mets: 1, 0, 3, 0, 3, 0, 1, 0, 2. Final: 5-10.