Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
 New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-4
The data suggests a closely matched contest between the Chicago White Sox and New York Mets, with both teams showing relatively high scoring averages. The last five encounters indicate that the Mets have a slight psychological advantage, having won three of those matchups. Both teams' recent forms highlight their ability to score, leading to the prediction of a likely high-scoring draw.
- Chicago White Sox averaging 4.9 runs conceded in last 10 matches
- New York Mets averaging 3.8 runs scored in last 10 matches
- Recent head-to-head favoring New York Mets with a slight edge in performance
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chicago White Sox
- Good recent formChicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formNew York Mets
New York Mets have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeNew York Mets
New York Mets have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 45% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chicago White Sox at 45% — final result was Chicago White Sox win, Chicago White Sox 2-1 New York Mets.
Predicted score was 4-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (53/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chicago White Sox have averaged 4.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Mets have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago White Sox are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with New York Mets.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chicago White Sox | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.55 | 1.27 |
| -1.5 | 2.86▲ | 1.40 |
| -1 | 2.41▼ | 1.54▲ |
| +1 | 1.70▼ | 2.13▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.56▼ | 2.44▲ |
| +2 | 1.42▼ | 2.85 |
| +2.5 | 1.34▼ | 3.17▲ |
| +3 | 1.25 | 3.78 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.43▼ | 2.76▲ |
| 7 | 1.51▲ | 2.45▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.71 | 2.10▲ |
| 8 | 1.84 | 1.93 |
| 8.5 | 2.00▼ | 1.82▲ |
| 9 | 2.25▲ | 1.61 |
| 9.5 | 2.50 | 1.52▲ |
| 10 | 2.77▲ | 1.40▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Miami MarlinsNew York Mets
Houston AstrosFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets?+
Our AI model favors Chicago White Sox to win, with a 45% probability (New York Mets 55%).
What time does Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets start?+
First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 6:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets?+
Chicago White Sox: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1. New York Mets: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. Final: 2-1.