Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
 New York Mets | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests a competitive matchup between the Chicago White Sox and New York Mets, with the White Sox scoring an average of 4.8 runs in their recent games, although they concede an equal amount. The Mets have displayed strong form, winning 4 out of their last 5 games, which could provide them with an advantage. Historically, the Mets have performed well against the White Sox, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters, hinting at a slight favor towards the away team.
- Chicago White Sox averages 4.8 runs scored but also 4 runs conceded in last 10 games
- New York Mets have lost only 1 of their last 5 matches, averaging 3.2 runs scored
- Historically, Mets have a slight edge with 3 wins in the last 5 head-to-heads against the White Sox
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chicago White Sox
- Historical edgeNew York Mets
New York Mets have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Good recent formChicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formNew York Mets
New York Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chicago White Sox at 50% — final result was Chicago White Sox win, Chicago White Sox 6-4 New York Mets.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (62/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chicago White Sox have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Mets have averaged 3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago White Sox are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with New York Mets.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chicago White Sox | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 3.82▲ | 1.25 |
| -2.5 | 3.14 | 1.34▼ |
| -2 | 2.83▲ | 1.41▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.42▲ | 1.57▼ |
| -1 | 1.98▲ | 1.82▼ |
| +1 | 1.46▲ | 2.63▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.40▲ | 2.91▼ |
| +2 | 1.26 | 3.85 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.35▲ | 2.97▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.47▼ | 2.62▲ |
| 7 | 1.58▲ | 2.30▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.81 | 1.99▼ |
| 8 | 1.94▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.09▼ | 1.72▲ |
| 9 | 2.41▲ | 1.53▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.64▲ | 1.47▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Athletics
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Philadelphia PhilliesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets?+
Our AI model favors Chicago White Sox to win, with a 50% probability (New York Mets 50%).
What time does Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets start?+
First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 11:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets?+
Chicago White Sox: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 2. New York Mets: 0, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 6-4.