Colchester vs Oldham
Match events
- 20'K. Appiah-Forson (J. Robson)
- 29'E. Iandolo
- 30'C. Kavanagh
- 36'K. Vincent-Young
- 45+2'G. Scott-Morriss
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests that both Colchester and Oldham have had mixed results recently, with Colchester's recent form yielding only one win in their last five matches. In contrast, Oldham, currently sitting in 4th place, has won their latest fixture, indicating a favorable trend. Historically, Colchester has struggled against Oldham, which could play a significant role in the outcome, potentially leading to a close match.
- Colchester has a recent record of 1 win in their last 5 matches.
- Oldham is ranked 4th in the league standings after winning their last match.
- Historically, Colchester has struggled against Oldham, losing 3 out of their last 5 encounters.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Colchester
- Higher league positionColchester
Colchester sit 7 places above Oldham in the table.
#5 vs #12 - Historical edgeOldham
Oldham have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formColchester
Colchester have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Poor recent formOldham
Oldham have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Colchester at 36% — final result was Colchester win, Colchester 2-1 Oldham.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Colchester have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Oldham have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Colchester
OldhamOldhamColchesterColchesterOldhamOldhamColchesterOldhamColchesterColchesterOldhamOldhamColchesterColchesterOldhamOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Oldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Durkin
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Colchester
Oldham
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Colchester vs Oldham?+
Our AI model favors Colchester to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 28%, Oldham 36%).
What time does Colchester vs Oldham kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).