Crawley Town vs Crewe — League Two

League Two· Regular Season - 1

Crawley Town

0–1Full-time

Crewe

LWDDLWGoals 10-1115th in league

WLDWWLGoals 11-152nd in league

Home0W 0D 1L(0-1)

Away1W 0D 0L(1-0)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

24'Jordan Gibson
31'Jude Arthurs
46'V. Mannone (N. Michalski)
51'K. Gordon
52'Joe White
52'C. Barker
55'G. Di Biase (J. Russell)
57'Joe White (Joel Tabiner)
58'Joe White
64'Malcolm Ebiowei
65'Calum Agius
66'M. Demetriou
67'Colin Kazim-Richards
67'Jordan Gibson (Charlie McNeill)
67'K. Krasniqi (O. Aderoju)
73'S. Duke-McKenna (O. Kamara)
73'A. Adeyemo (A. Odimayo)
85'M. Demetriou
85'M. Demetriou
90+5'Josh March (Joel Tabiner)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Crawley TownCrewe

1.0
Goals/game: 1.1; 1.1
Conceded/game: 1.5

AI match analysis

Crawley Town win

34.55%

Draw

28.63%

Crewe win

36.82%

47.6%BTTS

41.7%Over 2.5

33.3%Crawley Town clean sheet

28.7%Crewe clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Recent form suggests Crawley Town is struggling, with no wins in their last 5 matches and a low scoring average. In contrast, Crewe has shown better performance despite a mix of results, having recently secured a win and historically dominating their matchups against Crawley. These factors favor Crewe as they enter this fixture with a stronger record.

Crawley Town has not won in their last 5 matches, scoring only 4 goals in that span.
Crewe currently ranks 5th and has a recent win against Accrington ST, showcasing better form.
Historically, Crewe has had the upper hand over Crawley in their last 5 encounters, winning 3 of those matches.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Crewe

Higher league positionCrewe
Crewe sit 13 places above Crawley Town in the table.
#2 vs #15
Historical edgeCrewe
Crewe have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins
Sharper attackCrewe
Crewe are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game
Tighter defenseCrawley Town
Crawley Town are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Crewe at 36.82% — final result was Crewe win, Crawley Town 0-1 Crewe.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Crewe ✓2.58market 38.7% · model 36.82%

Crawley Town2.61market 38.3% · model 34.55%

Draw3.25market 30.8% · model 28.63%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Crawley Town have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Crewe have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Crawley Town wins

1Draws

6Crewe wins

7-12Goals

Crawley Town

0–1Feb 7, 2026, 12:31 PM

Crewe

1–0Aug 16, 2025, 2:00 PM

Crawley Town

2–0May 19, 2024, 12:00 PM

Crewe

1–0Feb 10, 2024, 3:00 PM

Crawley Town

2–4Oct 21, 2023, 2:00 PM

Crewe

Crawley Town

2–2Feb 11, 2023, 3:00 PM

Crewe

1–0Sep 17, 2022, 2:00 PM

Crawley Town

Crewe

2–1Feb 11, 2020, 7:45 PM

Crawley Town

Odds comparison

Match winner

Crawley Town2.61▲best 2.76

Draw3.25▲best 3.40

Crewe2.58▼best 2.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.90▼best 2.01

Under 2.51.85▲best 2.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.69▼best 1.73

No2.05▲best 2.38

Double chance

Crawley Town/Draw1.44▼best 1.50

Crawley Town/Crewe1.30▼best 1.33

Draw/Crewe1.45▼best 1.52

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30▲best 1.30

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40▼best 3.40

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Crawley Town2.61▲ 0.05

Draw3.25▲ 0.05

Crewe2.58▼ 0.02

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Crawley Town win-1pp

34.55%

Market

35.5%

Draw0pp

28.63%

Market

28.6%

Crewe win+0.9pp

36.82%

Market

35.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.