Crewe vs Northampton
Match events
- 37'Josh March
- 54'Josh March
- 66'L. Briggs (J. O'Brien Whitmarsh)
- 67'H. Saunders (E. List)
- 75'Jack Lankester (C. McNeill)
- 75'J. Tabiner (K. Ure)
- 77'M. Warhurst (S. Hoskins)
- 87'L. Evans
- 90'J. Gibson (A. Thibaut)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 0.6
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 2.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests that Crewe may have the edge in this matchup, having secured a recent victory while Northampton has struggled to score. Historical head-to-head results show a mixed bag, but with Crewe's recent home advantage, they appear more likely to earn points. Additionally, Crewe's scoring average of 1.3 goals per game outpaces Northampton's 0.6, indicating a potential for a close contest.
- Crewe won their last match against Crawley Town
- Northampton has not scored in their last two matches
- Crewe has a better overall recent form compared to Northampton
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Crewe
- Poor recent formNorthampton
Northampton have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Sharper attackCrewe
Crewe are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Tighter defenseCrewe
Crewe are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded - Higher league positionCrewe
Crewe sit 16 places above Northampton in the table.
#2 vs #18
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Crewe at 44% — final result was Crewe win, Crewe 1-0 Northampton.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Crewe have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Northampton have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Northampton
CreweCreweNorthamptonNorthamptonCreweCreweNorthamptonNorthamptonCreweCreweNorthamptonNorthamptonCreweCreweNorthamptonOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Crewe
More League Two predictions
Port ValeCrewe
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Cheltenham
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Chesterfield
GillinghamNorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Crewe vs Northampton?+
Our AI model favors Crewe to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 28%, Northampton 28%).
What time does Crewe vs Northampton kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).