Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
Match events
- 11'Matheus Henrique
- 11'Matheus Pereira
- 30'Giorgian De Arrascaeta
- 53'K. Arroyo (William Furtado)
- 65'Wesley (Kaique Kenji)
- 66'Fabrício Bruno
- 66'Bruno Henrique (Pedro)
- 66'Giorgian De Arrascaeta (Lucas Paquetá)
- 67'Lucas Paquetá
- 69'Artur Jorge
- 78'Matheus Henrique (Zé Lucas)
- 80'K. Arroyo (J. Costa)
- 84'Samuel Lino (J. Carrascal)
- 90'G. Plata (G. Varela)
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 2.0
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Statistical analysis indicates a competitive matchup, with Flamengo showing stronger form and a higher scoring average over their last 10 matches. Cruzeiro, despite being solid at home with recent victories, has struggled against Flamengo, with their last 5 encounters yielding mixed results. The expected score suggests a close contest, leaning towards a potential draw.
- Flamengo unbeaten in last 5 matches
- Cruzeiro has only 1 win in last 5 matches
- Flamengo has a better away record this season
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Flamengo
- Good recent formCruzeiro
Cruzeiro have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Good recent formFlamengo
Flamengo have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Sharper attackFlamengo
Flamengo are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game - Historical edgeFlamengo
Flamengo have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Flamengo at 36.46% — final result was a draw, Cruzeiro 1-1 Flamengo.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cruzeiro have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Flamengo have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Cruzeiro
FlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroFlamengoCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?+
Our AI model favors Flamengo to win, with a 36.46% probability (Draw 31.87%, Cruzeiro 31.66%).
What time does Cruzeiro vs Flamengo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).