Cruzeiro vs Flamengo
Match events
- 20'Fabrício Bruno
- 22'Pedro (Giorgian De Arrascaeta)
- 36'João Marcelo
- 46'J. Costa (Wesley Gassova)
- 56'K. Arroyo (Matheus Henrique)
- 63'Giorgian De Arrascaeta (Jorginho)
- 63'Samuel Lino (Gonzalo Plata)
- 72'E. Pulgar (Evertton Araujo)
- 72'Lucas Paquetá (Bruno Henrique)
- 75'Lucas Romero (Gerson)
- 76'Kaio Jorge (N. Villarreal)
- 76'K. Arroyo (Kaique Kenji)
- 83'Bruno Henrique
- 83'Pedro (Luiz Araújo)
- 86'Wesley Gassova
- 87'Matheus Henrique (Zé Lucas)
- 90+6'Matheus Pereira
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 2.0
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Flamengo holds an advantage with a strong away record and better recent form, winning three of their last five matches. While Cruzeiro has been resilient at home, their past meetings have seen Flamengo win two out of the last three confrontations. Recent scoring averages also favor Flamengo, pointing towards a likely narrow win for the away side.
- Flamengo in good recent form with 3 wins in last 5 matches
- Cruzeiro has a strong home record but faced Flamengo previously with mixed results
- Last 10 matches indicate Flamengo averaging 2 goals scored per game compared to Cruzeiro's 1.5
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Flamengo
- Sharper attackFlamengo
Flamengo are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game - Historical edgeFlamengo
Flamengo have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionFlamengo
Flamengo sit 3 places above Cruzeiro in the table.
#2 vs #5 - Strong recent formFlamengo
Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Flamengo at 41.88% — final result was Cruzeiro win, Cruzeiro 2-1 Flamengo.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cruzeiro have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Flamengo have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Flamengo
CruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Pereira
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
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FluminenseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?+
Our AI model favors Flamengo to win, with a 41.88% probability (Draw 29.32%, Cruzeiro 28.8%).
What time does Cruzeiro vs Flamengo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).