Flamengo vs Cruzeiro
Match events
- 35'Giorgian De Arrascaeta (Pedro)
- 48'Goal Disallowed - video review — Kaio Jorge
- 51'L. Romero (Gerson)
- 62'Samuel Lino (Pedro)
- 63'Giorgian De Arrascaeta (Lucas Paquetá)
- 63'G. Plata (J. Carrascal)
- 66'Wesley (J. Costa)
- 71'William
- 76'Pedro (Bruno Henrique)
- 76'Ayrton (G. Varela)
- 79'William (Fágner)
- 80'G. Rojas (Luciano Rodríguez)
- 80'Jorginho (Evertton Araujo)
- 85'Gerson (Bruno Rodrigues)
- 90+3'Bruno Henrique
- 90+5'J. Costa
Lineups
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests Flamengo is in strong form, securing three wins from three home games this season, while Cruzeiro has struggled with consistency away, managing only one win from their last three matches on the road. Historically, recent matchups between the two have favored tight scores, including a 1-1 draw in their last encounter. Overall, the statistics favor Flamengo, given their position at the top of the league standings and superior home performance.
- Flamengo unbeaten at home this season with 3 wins from 3 matches
- Cruzeiro has drawn twice in their last three away games
- Recent head-to-head matches indicate competitive balance with each team earning a draw recently
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Flamengo
- Strong home recordFlamengo
Flamengo have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.
3/3 home wins - Weak away recordCruzeiro
Cruzeiro have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins - Sharper attackFlamengo
Flamengo are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Tighter defenseFlamengo
Flamengo are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Flamengo at 57% — final result was Flamengo win, Flamengo 2-1 Cruzeiro.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Flamengo have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cruzeiro have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Cruzeiro
FlamengoCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroCruzeiroFlamengoFlamengoCruzeiroOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
G. Tejera
Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?+
Our AI model favors Flamengo to win, with a 57% probability (Draw 26%, Cruzeiro 17%).
What time does Flamengo vs Cruzeiro kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).