Dallas Wings W vs Indiana Fever W

NBA W
LWWWPts 855-8448th in Overall Standings · 22-16
LLWWPts 999-9362nd in Eastern Conference · 25-14
Home9W 11L(1709-1722)
Away10W 10L(1718-1748)

College Park Center

Value found

+10.4% edge

Indiana Fever W win

1.49AI fair odds
1.65Bookmaker odds
+10.4%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 177 total points vs the market's 185 line — leans under by 8 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Wings W
1824242591
Indiana Fever W
2220192485

AI match analysis

Dallas Wings W win
33%
Indiana Fever W win
67%

Predicted score: 80-97

Data suggests that Indiana Fever W is in a better position going into this match, having won 4 of their last 5 encounters with Dallas Wings W. Additionally, the Wings' struggles at home with a 35% win rate this season may further aid the Fever's chances. The numbers favor Indiana to score around 97 points, while Dallas is projected to score approximately 80 points.

  • Dallas Wings W has a home win rate of only 35% this season.
  • Indiana Fever W has a stronger away win rate of 50% and won 4 of their last 5 meetings against Dallas.
  • In their last 10 games, Indiana Fever W scored an average of 90.4 points, while Dallas Wings W allowed an average of 90.2 points.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
74/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Indiana Fever W

  • Good recent formDallas Wings W

    Dallas Wings W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formIndiana Fever W

    Indiana Fever W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackIndiana Fever W

    Indiana Fever W are averaging 99.9 points scored per game over their recent matches.

    99.9/game
  • Historical edgeIndiana Fever W

    Indiana Fever W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Indiana Fever W at 67% — final result was Dallas Wings W win, Dallas Wings W 91-85 Indiana Fever W.

Predicted score was 80-97.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Indiana Fever W1.65market 60.7% · model 67%
Dallas Wings W2.25market 44.5% · model 33%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dallas Wings W have averaged 85.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Indiana Fever W have averaged 99.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dallas Wings W are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Indiana Fever W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Dallas Wings W2.25best 2.38AI 33%
Indiana Fever W1.65best 1.73AI 67%

Point spread

LineDallas Wings WIndiana Fever W
-0.52.121.73
+1.52.041.72
+22.011.74
+2.51.921.83
+31.901.88
+3.51.831.94
+41.782.00
+4.51.702.07

Total points

LineOverUnder
183.51.752.00
1841.781.96
184.51.821.92
1851.881.87
185.51.901.87
1861.931.81
186.51.971.77
1872.001.75

Double chance

Home/Draw2.02
Draw/Away1.53

Average price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Dallas Wings W2.25
Indiana Fever W1.65 0.02
20 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Dallas Wings W win-9.3pp
AI
33%
Market
42.3%
Indiana Fever W win+9.3pp
AI
67%
Market
57.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Box score

Dallas Wings W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
A. Ogunbowale34:34322310/162/66/7
Shepard Jessica35:29268110/151/13/8
P. Bueckers34:4013685/140/23/4
Kuier Awak35:4011842/22/61/2
A. Smith09:380200/00/00/0
Bench (4)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
A. Clark15:305421/10/13/4
M. Siegrist15:572201/40/10/0
O. Sims16:152030/20/12/2
S. Sutton02:170010/00/00/0

Indiana Fever W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
K. Mitchell34:4337155/114/715/15
A. Boston29:0914915/90/24/4
M. Timpson33:56111204/70/03/4
C. Clark34:4610492/72/80/1
L. Hull25:029102/31/22/2
Bench (3)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
Billings Monique16:494112/50/00/0
S. Cunningham15:030000/00/40/0
T. Harris10:310010/10/00/0

Match statistics

54%Field goal %47%
28%3-point %30%
67%Free throw %92%
32Rebounds28
22Assists17
5Steals6
8Blocks3
9Turnovers9
Personal fouls

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Dallas Wings W wins
4Indiana Fever W wins
415-462Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

83.4Points scored per game90.7
88.7Points allowed per game85.4
46.5%Field goal %49.4%
28.1%3-point %39.1%
80.1%Free throw %78.7%
32.6Rebounds per game33.2
20Assists per game18.6
12.3Turnovers per game12.8

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dallas Wings W vs Indiana Fever W?+

Our AI model favors Indiana Fever W to win, with a 67% probability (Dallas Wings W 33%).

What time does Dallas Wings W vs Indiana Fever W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 21, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Dallas Wings W vs Indiana Fever W?+

Dallas Wings W: 18-24-24-25. Indiana Fever W: 22-20-19-24. Final: 91-85.