Phoenix Mercury W vs Toronto Tempo W
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Kickoff: Aug 29, 2026, 10:00 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
AI match analysis
Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed
Predicted score: 85-83
Data suggests that the Phoenix Mercury W have a stronger home performance compared to the Toronto Tempo W's away struggles, as the Tempo have not won a game on the road this season. The Mercury's recent scoring rate is slightly under what the Tempo have allowed, indicating a close matchup. Furthermore, the Mercury's home win rate adds to their statistical edge, giving them a favorable outlook in this clash.
- Phoenix Mercury W has a 45% home win rate this season.
- Toronto Tempo W has yet to secure an away victory this season.
- Phoenix Mercury W averages 84.9 points scored and 89.6 points allowed in their last 10 games.
- Toronto Tempo W has lost all their last 7 games on the road.
Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.
Why AI favors Phoenix Mercury W
- Tighter defensePhoenix Mercury W
Phoenix Mercury W are conceding just 89.6 points per game over their recent matches.
89.6/game conceded - Poor recent formPhoenix Mercury W
Phoenix Mercury W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Poor recent formToronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackToronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W are averaging 85.4 points scored per game over their recent matches.
85.4/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
Match trends
- Phoenix Mercury W have averaged 84.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Toronto Tempo W have averaged 85.4 points scored per game over their last 7 matches.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 |  Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 |  Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 7 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Atlanta Dream WPortland Fire WIndiana Fever WConnecticut Sun WLos Angeles Sparks WWashington Mystics WLas Vegas Aces WToronto Tempo WFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Phoenix Mercury W vs Toronto Tempo W?+
Our AI model favors Phoenix Mercury W to win, with a 60% probability (Toronto Tempo W 40%).
What time does Phoenix Mercury W vs Toronto Tempo W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 30, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).