Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W

NBA W
LLWWPts 999-9362nd in Eastern Conference · 25-14
LWWWPts 855-8448th in Overall Standings · 22-16
Home14W 6L(1792-1614)
Away3W 17L(1596-1777)

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Value found

+8.7% edge

Dallas Wings W win

3.33AI fair odds
3.62Bookmaker odds
+8.7%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 170 total points vs the market's 186 line — leans under by 16 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Fever W
1718283598
Dallas Wings W
1522292187

AI match analysis

Indiana Fever W win
70%
Dallas Wings W win
30%

Predicted score: 88-82

Data suggests that Indiana Fever W enters this game with significant momentum, having won 8 of their last 10 contests, while Dallas Wings W has struggled away from home with a 20% win rate. The Fever's historical success against the Wings in recent matchups also reinforces their position as the favored team. Overall, the analytics favor Indiana Fever W to secure a win with a predicted score of 88 to 82.

  • Indiana Fever W has won 8 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong form.
  • Dallas Wings W has struggled on the road with only a 20% away win rate this season.
  • Historically, Indiana Fever W has a favorable head-to-head record against Dallas Wings W, winning 4 of the last 5 matchups.
  • Indiana Fever W has a home win rate of 65%, further supporting their advantage in this matchup.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Indiana Fever W

  • Tighter defenseIndiana Fever W

    Indiana Fever W are conceding just 93.6 points per game over their recent matches.

    93.6/game conceded
  • Historical edgeIndiana Fever W

    Indiana Fever W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins
  • Good recent formIndiana Fever W

    Indiana Fever W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formDallas Wings W

    Dallas Wings W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Indiana Fever W at 70% — final result was Indiana Fever W win, Indiana Fever W 98-87 Dallas Wings W.

Predicted score was 88-82.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Indiana Fever W1.28market 78% · model 70%
Dallas Wings W3.62market 27.6% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Indiana Fever W have averaged 99.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dallas Wings W have averaged 85.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Indiana Fever W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Dallas Wings W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Indiana Fever W1.28best 1.30AI 70%
Dallas Wings W3.62best 4.05AI 30%

Point spread

LineIndiana Fever WDallas Wings W
-102.081.69
-9.52.011.74
-91.941.82
-8.51.891.88
-81.821.95
-7.51.771.97
-71.692.08
-6.51.672.12

Total points

LineOverUnder
1841.722.02
184.51.781.97
1851.811.94
185.51.861.89
1861.891.87
186.51.931.82
1871.971.78
187.52.021.73

Double chance

Draw/Away3.18
Home/Draw1.19

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Indiana Fever W1.28 0.13
Dallas Wings W3.62 0.72
13 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Indiana Fever W win-3.9pp
AI
70%
Market
73.9%
Dallas Wings W win+3.9pp
AI
30%
Market
26.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Box score

Indiana Fever W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
C. Clark34:05293109/102/85/6
K. Mitchell35:5623228/141/74/5
A. Boston29:11161017/120/12/2
M. Timpson23:406413/70/00/0
L. Hull12:240200/20/00/0
Bench (6)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
T. Harris16:3415200/05/50/0
S. Cunningham20:235101/21/30/0
Billings Monique14:232701/10/00/0
M. Hines-Allen12:092301/10/00/0
G. Vanslooten00:370000/00/00/0
R. Johnson00:370000/10/00/0

Dallas Wings W

PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
P. Bueckers36:3329669/152/65/5
A. Ogunbowale29:4620617/110/56/7
O. Sims23:1611220/13/62/2
Kuier Awak27:558641/21/43/4
A. Smith35:088724/70/40/0
Bench (5)
PlayerMinPtsRebAstFG3PTFT
M. Siegrist12:475121/31/20/0
A. Clark25:154211/10/22/2
H. Jones00:372101/10/00/0
S. Sutton04:330000/00/00/0
Li Yueru04:100000/20/00/0

Match statistics

60%Field goal %56%
38%3-point %24%
85%Free throw %90%
34Rebounds31
14Assists18
4Steals3
2Blocks6
9Turnovers10
Personal fouls

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Indiana Fever W wins
2Dallas Wings W wins
449-419Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

90.7Points scored per game83.4
85.4Points allowed per game88.7
49.4%Field goal %46.5%
39.1%3-point %28.1%
78.7%Free throw %80.1%
33.2Rebounds per game32.6
18.6Assists per game20
12.8Turnovers per game12.3

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W?+

Our AI model favors Indiana Fever W to win, with a 70% probability (Dallas Wings W 30%).

What time does Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 14, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W?+

Indiana Fever W: 17-18-28-35. Dallas Wings W: 15-22-29-21. Final: 98-87.