Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Value found
+8.7% edgeDallas Wings W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 170 total points vs the market's 186 line — leans under by 16 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 18 | 28 | 35 | 98 | |
| 15 | 22 | 29 | 21 | 87 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 88-82
Data suggests that Indiana Fever W enters this game with significant momentum, having won 8 of their last 10 contests, while Dallas Wings W has struggled away from home with a 20% win rate. The Fever's historical success against the Wings in recent matchups also reinforces their position as the favored team. Overall, the analytics favor Indiana Fever W to secure a win with a predicted score of 88 to 82.
- Indiana Fever W has won 8 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong form.
- Dallas Wings W has struggled on the road with only a 20% away win rate this season.
- Historically, Indiana Fever W has a favorable head-to-head record against Dallas Wings W, winning 4 of the last 5 matchups.
- Indiana Fever W has a home win rate of 65%, further supporting their advantage in this matchup.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Indiana Fever W
- Tighter defenseIndiana Fever W
Indiana Fever W are conceding just 93.6 points per game over their recent matches.
93.6/game conceded - Historical edgeIndiana Fever W
Indiana Fever W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Good recent formIndiana Fever W
Indiana Fever W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formDallas Wings W
Dallas Wings W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Indiana Fever W at 70% — final result was Indiana Fever W win, Indiana Fever W 98-87 Dallas Wings W.
Predicted score was 88-82.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Indiana Fever W have averaged 99.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Dallas Wings W have averaged 85.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Indiana Fever W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Dallas Wings W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Indiana Fever W | Dallas Wings W |
|---|---|---|
| -10 | 2.08▼ | 1.69▲ |
| -9.5 | 2.01▼ | 1.74▲ |
| -9 | 1.94▼ | 1.82▲ |
| -8.5 | 1.89▼ | 1.88▲ |
| -8 | 1.82▼ | 1.95▲ |
| -7.5 | 1.77▼ | 1.97▲ |
| -7 | 1.69▼ | 2.08▲ |
| -6.5 | 1.67▼ | 2.12▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 184 | 1.72▼ | 2.02 |
| 184.5 | 1.78▲ | 1.97▼ |
| 185 | 1.81▲ | 1.94▼ |
| 185.5 | 1.86▲ | 1.89▼ |
| 186 | 1.89▲ | 1.87▼ |
| 186.5 | 1.93▲ | 1.82▼ |
| 187 | 1.97▲ | 1.78▼ |
| 187.5 | 2.02▲ | 1.73▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Box score
Indiana Fever W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark | 34:05 | 29 | 3 | 10 | 9/10 | 2/8 | 5/6 |
| K. Mitchell | 35:56 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 8/14 | 1/7 | 4/5 |
| A. Boston | 29:11 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 7/12 | 0/1 | 2/2 |
| M. Timpson | 23:40 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| L. Hull | 12:24 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Bench (6)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Harris | 16:34 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0/0 | 5/5 | 0/0 |
| S. Cunningham | 20:23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 |
| Billings Monique | 14:23 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| M. Hines-Allen | 12:09 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| G. Vanslooten | 00:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| R. Johnson | 00:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Dallas Wings W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 36:33 | 29 | 6 | 6 | 9/15 | 2/6 | 5/5 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 29:46 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 7/11 | 0/5 | 6/7 |
| O. Sims | 23:16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 | 3/6 | 2/2 |
| Kuier Awak | 27:55 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
| A. Smith | 35:08 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4/7 | 0/4 | 0/0 |
Bench (5)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Siegrist | 12:47 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 |
| A. Clark | 25:15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
| H. Jones | 00:37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| S. Sutton | 04:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| Li Yueru | 04:10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W?+
Our AI model favors Indiana Fever W to win, with a 70% probability (Dallas Wings W 30%).
What time does Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 14, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Indiana Fever W vs Dallas Wings W?+
Indiana Fever W: 17-18-28-35. Dallas Wings W: 15-22-29-21. Final: 98-87.

