Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia L.P.

Copa Argentina· Round of 16
Deportivo Riestra
11After Penalties
Gimnasia L.P.
LWLDGoals 7-9
LWLLGoals 14-11
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'I. Miramon
  2. 18'N. Watson
  3. 26'N. Benegas (G. Obredor)
  4. 26'Goal Disallowed - video review — N. Benegas
  5. 38'N. Benegas (M. Bracamonte)
  6. 46'I. Miramon (Juan Cruz Cortazzo)
  7. 53'Mateo Seoane
  8. 61'Juan Cruz Cortazzo
  9. 67'R. Gallo (C. Paz)
  10. 67'G. Obredor (B. Perez)
  11. 70'Ignacio Fernández
  12. 73'P. Silva (M. Melluso)
  13. 73'Nicolás Barros Schelotto (L. Janson)
  14. 76'M. Bracamonte (N. Sansotre)
  15. 76'N. Watson (P. Monje)
  16. 83'A. Stringa (M. Celiz)
  17. 83'Alexis Steimbach (Jeremías Merlo)
  18. 84'Mateo Seoane (Augusto Max)
  19. 86'Augusto Max
  20. 90+1'Augusto Max
  21. 90+4'T. Gonzalez
  22. 120+1'Ignacio Fernández
  23. 120+1'N. Benegas
  24. 120+2'L. Janson
  25. 120+2'F. Mino
  26. 120+3'Agustín Auzmendi
  27. 120+3'T. Gonzalez
  28. 120+4'Agustín Colazo
  29. 120+4'M. Celiz
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Deportivo RiestraGimnasia L.P.
0.7
Goals/game
1.4
0.9
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Deportivo Riestra win
28%
Draw
37%
Gimnasia L.P. win
35%
40.6%BTTS
33.7%Over 2.5
31.7%Deportivo Riestra clean sheet
40.7%Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a tightly contested match with potential for a draw given both teams' recent scoring difficulties. Gimnasia L.P. has struggled in their last matches, while Deportivo Riestra's scoring average indicates challenges in finding the back of the net.

  • Gimnasia L.P. has lost 4 out of their last 5 matches
  • Deportivo Riestra has only scored an average of 0.9 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Recent head-to-head matches have shown low scoring, with the last three ending in draws or minimal score
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
55/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI leans toward a draw

  • Poor recent formGimnasia L.P.

    Gimnasia L.P. have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Historical edgeDeportivo Riestra

    Deportivo Riestra have won 1 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.

    1/3 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackGimnasia L.P.

    Gimnasia L.P. are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Draw at 37% — final result was a draw, Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Gimnasia L.P..

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (55/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Draw2.64market 37.9% · model 37%
Gimnasia L.P.2.69market 37.2% · model 35%
Deportivo Riestra3.09market 32.4% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Deportivo Riestra have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gimnasia L.P. have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Deportivo Riestra wins
2Draws
0Gimnasia L.P. wins
2-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Deportivo Riestra3.09best 3.22
Draw2.64best 2.85
Gimnasia L.P.2.69best 2.88

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.24best 3.40
Under 2.51.30best 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes2.43best 2.62
No1.49best 1.57

Double chance

Deportivo Riestra/Draw1.43best 1.50
Deportivo Riestra/Gimnasia L.P.1.43best 1.48
Draw/Gimnasia L.P.1.33best 1.38

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.10best 2.10

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Deportivo Riestra3.09 0.21
Draw2.64 0.07
Gimnasia L.P.2.69 0.26
15 Aug18 Aug

Model vs market

Deportivo Riestra win-2.1pp
AI
28%
Market
30.1%
Draw+1.8pp
AI
37%
Market
35.2%
Gimnasia L.P. win+0.4pp
AI
35%
Market
34.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1.4
0.9Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Deportivo Riestra

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

Gimnasia L.P.

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
25%

More Copa Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia L.P.?+

Our AI model gives a draw the highest probability at 37%, with Deportivo Riestra at 28% and Gimnasia L.P. at 35%.

What time does Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia L.P. kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 8:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).